I haven’t caught up with my CFL power rating reports, so I’m just going to have very pruned-down reports until I’m caught up!
Friday: Winnipeg defeat Saskatchewan, again, 31-13
Friday: Ottawa continues dismal season, losing 34-19 to British Columbia
Saturday: Edmonton continues dismal season, losing 25-18 to Montreal
Saturday: Toronto scores two rouges, but loses to Calgary 29-2
Week 17 Results
Saskatchewan 13 at Winnipeg 31
Ottawa 19 at British Columbia 34
Montreal 25 at Edmonton 18
Toronto 2 at Calgary 29
McDonald CFL Power Ratings
Ranking | Team | Rating | Record |
1 | Winnipeg | 1635 (▲6) | 13-2, 1st West |
2 | Calgary | 1570 (▲10) | 10-5, T-2nd West |
3 (▲1) | British Columbia | 1538 (▲7) | 10-4, T-2nd West |
4 (▼1) | Toronto | 1525 (▼10) | 8-6, 1st East |
5 | Montreal | 1508 (▲12) | 7-7, 2nd East |
6 | Saskatchewan | 1485 (▼6) | 6-9, 4th West |
7 | Hamilton | 1458 | 4-10, 3rd East |
8 | Edmonton | 1415 (▼12) | 4-11, 5th West |
9 | Ottawa | 1395 (▼6) | 3-11, 4th East |
Grey Cup Predictions
Overall, there’s a 66% chance of a Western team winning the Grey Cup, the same as last week’s report. We’ve also determined that there’s a 65% chance of a 4th-place Western team crossing over to the East for the playoffs (down 6% from last week), versus no chance of an Eastern team crossing over to the West (same as last week).
Grey Cup Ranking | Team | Rating | Win Grey Cup |
1 | Winnipeg | 1635 | 41% (▲1) |
2 | Toronto | 1525 | 19% (▼4) |
3 | Montreal | 1508 | 13% (▲3) |
4 (▼1) | Calgary | 1570 | 11% (▲1) |
5 | British Columbia | 1538 | 9% |
6 | Saskatchewan | 1485 | 5% |
7 | Hamilton | 1458 | 2% (▲1) |
T-8 | Ottawa | 1395 | <1% |
T-8 | Edmonton | 1415 | <1% |
Our Full Predictions
Here’s our full predictions.
Team | Rating | Make Playoffs | Host Playoff Game | Win Division | Make Division Final | Make Grey Cup | Win Grey Cup |
Winnipeg 13-2, 1st in West |
1635 | ✔ | >99% | 94% | 98% | 64% | 41% |
Toronto 8-6, 1st in East |
1525 | ✔ | >99% | 72% | 89% | 50% | 19% |
Montreal 7-7, 2nd in East |
1508 | >99% | 99% | 28% | 70% | 34% | 13% |
Calgary 10-5, T-2nd in West |
1570 | ✔ | 42% | <1% | 53% | 19% | 11% |
British Columbia 10-4, T-2nd in West |
1538 | ✔ | 58% | 6% | 49% | 17% | 9% |
Saskatchewan 6-9, 4th in West |
1485 | 64% | — | — | 27% | 11% | 5% |
Hamilton 4-10, 3rd in East |
1458 | 32% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 5% | 2% |
Ottawa 3-11, 4th in East |
1395 | 4% | 1% | — | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Edmonton 4-11, 5th in West |
1415 | <1% | — | — | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Week 18 Game Predictions
Friday: Saskatchewan (47%) at Hamilton (52%)
Saturday: British Columbia (45%) at Toronto (54%)
Saturday: Edmonton (17%) at Winnipeg (82%)
Monday: Ottawa (28%) at Montreal (71%)