I haven’t caught up with my CFL power rating reports, so I’m just going to have very pruned-down reports until I’m caught up!
Friday: Edmonton squeak by Saskatchewan 26-24, first win at Mosaic Stadium since 2015
Saturday: Hamilton surprises Winnipeg 48-31
Saturday: British Columbia defeats Calgary 31-29 in overtime
Week 15 Results
Edmonton 26 at Saskatchewan 24
Winnipeg 31 at Hamilton 48
British Columbia 31 at Calgary 29 (OT)
McDonald CFL Power Ratings
| Ranking | Team | Rating | Record |
| 1 | Winnipeg | 1629 (▼17) | 12-2, 1st West |
| 2 | Calgary | 1546 (▼15) | 8-5, 3rd West |
| 3 | British Columbia | 1545 (▲16) | 9-3, 2nd West |
| 4 | Toronto | 1525 | 7-5, 1st East |
| 5 | Saskatchewan | 1491 (▼17) | 6-8, 4th West |
| 6 | Montreal | 1486 | 5-7, 2nd East |
| 7 | Hamilton | 1468 (▲18) | 4-9, 3rd East |
| 8 | Edmonton | 1427 (▲18) | 4-10, 5th West |
| 9 | Ottawa | 1411 | 3-9, 4th East |
Grey Cup Predictions
Overall, there’s a 66% chance of a Western team winning the Grey Cup, down 4% from last week’s report. We’ve also determined that there’s a 64% chance of a 4th-place Western team crossing over to the East for the playoffs (down 23% from last week), versus less than a 1% chance of an Eastern team crossing over to the West (same as last week).
| Grey Cup Ranking | Team | Rating | Win Grey Cup |
| 1 | Winnipeg | 1629 | 40% (▼4) |
| 2 | Toronto | 1525 | 21% (▲1) |
| 3 (▲1) | British Columbia | 1545 | 12% (▲4) |
| T-4 | Montreal | 1486 | 9% (▲1) |
| T-4 (▼1) | Calgary | 1546 | 9% (▼2) |
| 6 | Saskatchewan | 1491 | 5% (▼2) |
| 7 | Hamilton | 1468 | 3% (▲2) |
| 8 (▼1) | Ottawa | 1411 | 1% |
| 9 | Edmonton | 1427 | <1% |
Our Full Predictions
Here’s our full predictions.
| Team | Rating | Make Playoffs | Host Playoff Game | Win Division | Make Division Final | Make Grey Cup | Win Grey Cup |
| Winnipeg 12-2, 1st in West |
1629 | ✔ | >99% | 89% | 96% | 62% | 40% |
| Toronto 7-5, 1st in East |
1525 | >99% | 99% | 81% | 91% | 54% | 21% |
| British Columbia 9-3, 2nd in West |
1545 | >99% | 81% | 11% | 58% | 22% | 12% |
| Montreal 5-7, 2nd in East |
1486 | 83% | 72% | 18% | 53% | 24% | 9% |
| Calgary 8-5, 3rd in West |
1546 | >99% | 19% | <1% | 46% | 16% | 9% |
| Saskatchewan 6-8, 4th in West |
1491 | 63% | 55% | — | 28% | 11% | 5% |
| Hamilton 4-9, 3rd in East |
1468 | 39% | 20% | <1% | 20% | 8% | 3% |
| Ottawa 3-9, 4th in East |
1411 | 14% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Edmonton 4-10, 5th in West |
1427 | 2% | — | — | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Week 16 Game Predictions
Friday: Hamilton (40%) at Montreal (59%)
Saturday: Toronto (58%) at Ottawa (41%)
Saturday: Calgary (43%) at British Columbia (56%)