I haven’t caught up with my CFL power rating reports, so I’m just going to have very pruned-down reports until I’m caught up!
Friday: Montreal defeat British Columbia 31-10
Saturday: Toronto defeat Ottawa 24-19
Saturday: Winnipeg thump Saskatchewan 54-20 in Banjo Bowl
Saturday: Calgary doubles Edmonton 56-28 in Battle of Alberta rematch
Week 14 Results
British Columbia 10 at Montreal 31
Toronto 24 at Ottawa 19
Saskatchewan 20 at Winnipeg 54
Calgary 56 at Edmonton 28
McDonald CFL Power Ratings
Ranking | Team | Rating | Record |
1 | Winnipeg | 1646 (▲7) | 12-1, 1st West |
2 | Calgary | 1561 (▲10) | 8-4, T-2nd West |
3 | British Columbia | 1529 (▼13) | 8-3, T-2nd West |
4 (▲1) | Toronto | 1525 (▲11) | 7-5, 1st East |
5 (▼1) | Saskatchewan | 1508 (▼7) | 6-7, 4th West |
6 | Montreal | 1486 (▲13) | 5-7, 2nd East |
7 | Hamilton | 1450 | 3-9, T-3rd East |
8 | Ottawa | 1411 (▼11) | 3-9, T-3rd East |
9 | Edmonton | 1409 (▼9) | 3-10, 5th West |
Grey Cup Predictions
Overall, there’s a 70% chance of a Western team winning the Grey Cup, down 1% from last week’s report. We’ve also determined that there’s an 87% chance of a 4th-place Western team crossing over to the East for the playoffs (down 3% from last week), versus less than a 1% chance of an Eastern team crossing over to the West (same as last week).
Grey Cup Ranking | Team | Rating | Win Grey Cup |
1 | Winnipeg | 1646 | 44% (▲2) |
2 | Toronto | 1525 | 20% (▲2) |
3 (▲1) | Calgary | 1561 | 11% (▲1) |
T-4 (▲2) | Montreal | 1486 | 8% (▲1) |
T-4 (▼1) | British Columbia | 1529 | 8% (▼3) |
6 (▼1) | Saskatchewan | 1508 | 7% (▼1) |
T-7 (▲1) | Hamilton | 1450 | 1% |
T-7 | Ottawa | 1411 | 1% (▼1) |
9 | Edmonton | 1409 | <1% |
Our Full Predictions
Here’s our full predictions.
Team | Rating | Make Playoffs | Host Playoff Game | Win Division | Make Division Final | Make Grey Cup | Win Grey Cup |
Winnipeg 12-1, 1st in West |
1646 | ✔ | >99% | 96% | 99% | 67% | 44% |
Toronto 7-5, 1st in East |
1525 | 99% | 99% | 81% | 91% | 53% | 20% |
Calgary 8-4, T-2nd in West |
1561 | >99% | 49% | <1% | 54% | 19% | 11% |
Montreal 5-7, 2nd in East |
1486 | 84% | 79% | 19% | 54% | 24% | 8% |
British Columbia 8-3, T-2nd in West |
1529 | >99% | 51% | 3% | 47% | 15% | 8% |
Saskatchewan 6-7, 4th in West |
1508 | 86% | 1% | — | 40% | 16% | 7% |
Hamilton 3-9, T-3rd in East |
1450 | 17% | 11% | <1% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
Ottawa 3-9, T-3rd in East |
1411 | 13% | 11% | <1% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
Edmonton 3-10, 5th in West |
1409 | 1% | <1% | — | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Week 15 Game Predictions
Edmonton (30%) at Saskatchewan (69%)
Winnipeg (69%) at Hamilton (30%)
British Columbia (38%) at Calgary (61%)