In last night’s game, the New York Rangers travelled to Tampa Bay to face the Lightning, with the Rangers holding a 2-0 series lead. In a close close game, Tampa Bay came back from being down 2-0 to take the victory with a 3-2 final score when Ondrej Palat scored the go-ahead goal with 42 seconds left in the game. Tampa Bay peppered Ranger goalie Igor Shesterkin with 52 shots, outshooting New York 19-6 in the third period when they outscored them 2-0. With the victory, the Lightning trail the Rangers 2-1 in the series, and we’ve calculated that the Rangers are still the favourites to win the series, now with a 65.7% chance of winning it, down from 78.4% after Game 2.
Tonight, Edmonton hosts Colorado, with Colorado hoping to sweep the series, as they currently hold a 3-0 lead. We’re giving Colorado a 97.0% chance of winning the series, and a 56.0% chance of finishing off the series tonight.
Yesterday’s Game
NY Rangers (2nd in Metropolitan, 110 pts) vs. Tampa Bay (3rd in Atlantic, 110 pts)
NY Rangers 2 at Tampa Bay 3
- NY Rangers leads series 2-1
- NY Rangers now has a 65.7% chance of winning the series, down from 78.4%
Series schedule:
- June 1: Tampa Bay 2 at NY Rangers 6
- June 3: Tampa Bay 2 at NY Rangers 3
- June 5: NY Rangers 2 at Tampa Bay 3
- June 7: NY Rangers at Tampa Bay
- June 9: Tampa Bay at NY Rangers
- June 11: NY Rangers at Tampa Bay (if necessary)
- June 14: Tampa Bay at NY Rangers (if necessary)
New simulation results:
- NY Rangers has a 65.7% chance of winning (▼12.7)
- In 4 games: 0.0% (▼21.1)
- In 5 games: 24.4% (▼2.7)
- In 6 games: 21.0% (▲5.1)
- In 7 games: 20.3% (▲6.1)
- Tampa Bay has a 34.3% chance of winning (▲12.7)
- In 7 games: 17.9% (▲5.3)
- In 6 games: 16.4% (▲7.4)
- In 5 games: 0.0%
- In 4 games: 0.0%
Today’s Game
Colorado (1st in Central, 119 pts) vs. Edmonton (2nd in Pacific, 104 pts)
Colorado at Edmonton
- Colorado leads series 3-0
- Colorado has a 97.0% chance of winning the series
Playoff Matchups
Eastern Conference Finals
NY Rangers (2nd in Metropolitan, 110 pts) vs. Tampa Bay (3rd in Atlantic, 110 pts)
NY Rangers leads series 2-1
Chances of winning: NY Rangers 65.7%, Tampa Bay 34.3%
McDonald NHL Power Ratings:
- NY Rangers: 1581, 4th overall
- Tampa Bay: 1603, 2nd overall
Head-to-head this year (3 games):
- NY Rangers: 2 regulation wins, 1 shootout win
- Tampa Bay: 0 wins
Previous rounds:
- NY Rangers:
- defeated Pittsburgh (1540, 12th) in 7 games
- defeated Carolina (1595, T-2nd) in 7 games
- Tampa Bay:
- defeated Toronto (1598, 2nd) in 7 games
- defeated Florida (1591, 4th) in 4 games
Series schedule:
- June 1: Tampa Bay 2 at NY Rangers 6
- June 3: Tampa Bay 2 at NY Rangers 3
- June 5: NY Rangers 2 at Tampa Bay 3
- June 7: NY Rangers at Tampa Bay
- June 9: Tampa Bay at NY Rangers
- June 11: NY Rangers at Tampa Bay (if necessary)
- June 14: Tampa Bay at NY Rangers (if necessary)
Simulation results:
- NY Rangers has a 65.7% chance of winning
- In 4 games: 0.0%
- In 5 games: 24.4%
- In 6 games: 21.0%
- In 7 games: 20.3%
- Tampa Bay has a 34.3% chance of winning
- In 7 games: 17.9%
- In 6 games: 16.4%
- In 5 games: 0.0%
- In 4 games: 0.0%
Western Conference Finals
Colorado (1st in Central, 119 pts) vs. Edmonton (2nd in Pacific, 104 pts)
Colorado leads series 3-0
Chances of winning: Colorado 97.0%, Edmonton 3.0%
McDonald NHL Power Ratings:
- Colorado: 1635, 1st overall
- Edmonton: 1589, 3rd overall
Head-to-head this year (3 games):
- Colorado: 1 overtime win, 1 shootout win
- Edmonton: 1 regulation win
Previous rounds:
- Colorado:
- defeated Nashville (1512, 17th) in 4 games
- defeated St. Louis (1595, T-2nd) in 6 games
- Edmonton:
- defeated Los Angeles (1534, 13th) in 7 games
- defeated Calgary (1582, 6th) in 5 games
Series schedule:
- May 31: Edmonton 6 at Colorado 8
- June 2: Edmonton 0 at Colorado 4
- June 4: Colorado 4 at Edmonton 2
- June 6: Colorado at Edmonton
- June 8: Edmonton at Colorado (if necessary)
- June 10: Colorado at Edmonton (if necessary)
- June 12: Edmonton at Colorado (if necessary)
Simulation results:
- Colorado has a 97.0% chance of winning
- In 4 games: 56.0%
- In 5 games: 28.6%
- In 6 games: 7.9%
- In 7 games: 4.6%
- Edmonton has a 3.0% chance of winning
- In 7 games: 3.0%
- In 6 games: 0.0%
- In 5 games: 0.0%
- In 4 games: 0.0%
Chances of winning the Stanley Cup
1 Colorado Avalanche 39.7% 2 Tampa Bay Lightning 24.7% 3 New York Rangers 18.2% 4 Edmonton Oilers 17.4%
These chances were calculated at the end of the second round of the playoffs.