Philadelphia has continued their winning ways, increasing their rating by 18 points. I’ve now got them at a 10% chance of winning the Stanley Cup. They’ve got two tough games coming up though: #1 Boston on Tuesday, and #2 Tampa Bay on Thursday.
Boston is still the favourite, with a 15% chance of winning the Stanley Cup, down 1% from last week.
The top 5
1. Boston Bruins (1595, ▼2)
Record: 43-14-12, 1st in Atlantic Division
Chances of:
- Making the playoffs: >99%
- Winning the President’s Trophy: 79% (▲11)
- Winning the Stanley Cup: 15% (▼1)
Last week: 2-1-0
- March 3: Won 2-1 @ Tampa Bay Lightning (2nd, 1584)
- March 5: Won in OT 2-1 @ Florida Panthers (17th, 1506)
- March 7: Lost 5-3 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (2nd, 1584)
Next week:
- March 10: @ Philadelphia Flyers (4th, 1569)
- March 13: @ Buffalo Sabres (29th, 1435)
- March 14: vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (13th, 1511)
2. Tampa Bay Lightning (1584, ▲1)
Record: 43-20-6, 2nd in Atlantic Division
Chances of:
- Making the playoffs: >99%
- Winning the President’s Trophy: 8% (▼5)
- Winning the Stanley Cup: 12% (▲1)
Last week: 2-1-1
- March 3: Lost 2-1 vs. Boston Bruins (1st, 1595)
- March 5: Won 4-0 vs. Montreal Canadiens (28th, 1446)
- March 7: Won 5-3 @ Boston Bruins (1st, 1595)
- March 8: Lost in SO 5-4 @ Detroit Red Wings (31st, 1348)
Next week:
- March 10: @ Toronto Maple Leafs (13th, 1511)
- March 12: vs. Philadelphia Flyers (4th, 1569)
- March 14: vs. Detroit Red Wings (31st, 1348)
- March 15: vs. New Jersey Devils (20th, 1492)
3. Colorado Avalanche ▼1 (1580, ▼3)
Record: 41-19-8, 2nd in Central Division
Chances of:
- Making the playoffs: >99%
- Winning the President’s Trophy: 6% (▼4)
- Winning the Stanley Cup: 13%
Last week: 2-1-1
- March 2: Won 2-1 @ Detroit Red Wings (31st, 1348)
- March 4: Lost in OT 4-3 vs. Anaheim Ducks (26th, 1447)
- March 6: Lost 6-3 @ Vancouver Canucks (23rd, 1485)
- March 8: Won 4-3 @ San Jose Sharks (25th, 1453)
Next week:
- March 9: @ Los Angeles Kings (26th, 1447)
- March 11: vs. New York Rangers (19th, 1504)
- March 13: vs. Vancouver Canucks (23rd, 1485)
- March 15: vs. Vegas Golden Knights (7th, 1537)
4. Philadelphia Flyers ▲1 (1569, ▲18)
Record: 41-20-7, 2nd in Metropolitan Division
Chances of:
- Making the playoffs: >99% (▲3)
- Winning the President’s Trophy: 2% (▲2)
- Winning the Stanley Cup: 10% (▲3)
Last week: 3-0-0
- March 4: Won 5-2 @ Washington Capitals (6th, 1539)
- March 5: Won 4-1 vs. Carolina Hurricanes (14th, 1509)
- March 7: Won 3-1 vs. Buffalo Sabres (29th, 1435)
Next week:
- March 10: vs. Boston Bruins (1st, 1595)
- March 12: @ Tampa Bay Lightning (2nd, 1584)
- March 14: vs. Minnesota Wild (10th, 1516)
- March 15: vs. Edmonton Oilers (8th, 1527)
5. St. Louis Blues ▼1 (1558, ▲6)
Record: 41-18-10, 1st in Central Division
Chances of:
- Making the playoffs: >99%
- Winning the President’s Trophy: 4% (▼1)
- Winning the Stanley Cup: 9% (▲1)
Last week: 2-1-0
- March 3: Won 3-1 @ New York Rangers (19th, 1504)
- March 6: Lost 4-2 @ New Jersey Devils (20th, 1492)
- March 8: Won 2-0 @ Chicago Black Hawks (24th, 1459)
Next week:
- March 9: vs. Florida Panthers (17th, 1506)
- March 11: @ Anaheim Ducks (26th, 1447)
- March 13: vs. San Jose Sharks (25th, 1453)
- March 15: vs. Ottawa Senators (30th, 1424)
Overall Ratings
1 Boston Bruins 1595 (▼2) 2 Tampa Bay Lightning 1584 (▲1) 3 Colorado Avalanche (▼1) 1580 (▼3) 4 Philadelphia Flyers (▲1) 1569 (▲18) 5 St. Louis Blues (▼1) 1558 (▲6) 6 Washington Capitals 1539 7 Vegas Golden Knights 1537 (▲7) 8 Edmonton Oilers (▲4) 1527 (▲8) 9 Columbus Blue Jackets (▲2) 1522 (▲2) 10 Minnesota Wild (▲3) 1516 (▲3) 11 (tie) Dallas Stars (▼4) 1513 (▼17) 11 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▲8) 1513 (▲13) 13 Toronto Maple Leafs (▼4) 1511 (▼17) 14 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes (▲4) 1509 (▲4) 14 (tie) Nashville Predators (▲3) 1509 (▲2) 16 Pittsburgh Penguins (▼3) 1508 (▼5) 17 Florida Panthers (▲3) 1506 (▲7) 18 Calgary Flames (▼3) 1505 (▼3) 19 New York Rangers (▼9) 1504 (▼17) 20 New Jersey Devils (▲3) 1492 (▲12) 21 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (▲1) 1489 (▲3) 21 (tie) New York Islanders (▼6) 1489 (▼19) 23 Vancouver Canucks (▼2) 1485 (▼8) 24 Chicago Blackhawks 1459 (▼3) 25 San Jose Sharks 1453 (▼7) 26 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▲2) 1447 (▲7) 26 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (▲3) 1447 (▲10) 28 Montreal Canadiens (▼1) 1446 29 Buffalo Sabres (▼3) 1435 (▼17) 30 Ottawa Senators 1424 (▲5) 31 Detroit Red Wings 1348 (▲10)
Chances of Winning Division
Metropolitan Division
1 Washington Capitals 50% (▼12) 2 Philadelphia Flyers 45% (▲23) 3 Pittsburgh Penguins 4% (▼7) 4 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes (▲1) <1% (▼1) 4 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (▲2) <1% 4 (tie) New York Islanders <1% (▼3) 4 (tie) New York Rangers (▲2) <1% 4 (tie) New Jersey Devils (▲2) <1%
Atlantic Division
1 Boston Bruins 89% (▲8) 2 Tampa Bay Lightning 11% (▼8) 3 (tie) Buffalo Sabres <1% 3 (tie) Detroit Red Wings <1% 3 (tie) Florida Panthers <1% 3 (tie) Montreal Canadiens <1% 3 (tie) Ottawa Senators <1% 3 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs <1%
Central Division
1 Colorado Avalanche 53% (▼6) 2 St. Louis Blues 46% (▲9) 3 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (▲1) <1% 3 (tie) Dallas Stars <1% (▼4) 3 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▲1) <1% 3 (tie) Nashville Predators (▲1) <1% 3 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▲1) <1%
Pacific Division
1 Vegas Golden Knights 48% 2 Edmonton Oilers 43% (▲11) 3 (tie) Calgary Flames (▲1) 4% (▼4) 3 (tie) Vancouver Canucks 4% (▼8) 5 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▲1) <1% 5 (tie) Arizona Coyotes <1% (▼1) 5 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (▲1) <1% 5 (tie) San Jose Sharks (▲1) <1%
Making the Playoffs
Eastern Conference
1 (tie) Boston Bruins >99% 1 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (▲3) >99% (▲3) 1 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning >99% 1 (tie) Washington Capitals >99% 5 Pittsburgh Penguins 91% (▲2) 6 Toronto Maple Leafs 71% (▼17) 7 Carolina Hurricanes (▲1) 69% (▲20) 8 New York Islanders (▼1) 59% (▼20) 9 Columbus Blue Jackets 47% (▲6) 10 Florida Panthers (▲1) 41% (▲19) 11 New York Rangers (▼1) 21% (▼14) 12 (tie) Buffalo Sabres <1% (▼1) 12 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (▲2) <1% 12 (tie) Montreal Canadiens <1% (▼1) 12 (tie) New Jersey Devils (▲2) <1% 12 (tie) Ottawa Senators (▲2) <1%
Western Conference
1 (tie) Colorado Avalanche >99% 1 (tie) St. Louis Blues >99% 3 (tie) Dallas Stars 97% (▼2) 3 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (▲2) 97% (▲7) 3 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (▲1) 97% (▲2) 6 Calgary Flames (▲1) 70% (▲3) 7 Minnesota Wild (▲2) 59% (▲10) 8 Vancouver Canucks (▼2) 56% (▼17) 9 Nashville Predators (▼1) 53% (▼7) 10 Winnipeg Jets (▲1) 42% (▲13) 11 Arizona Coyotes (▼1) 25% (▼5) 12 Chicago Blackhawks 2% (▼5) 13 (tie) Anaheim Ducks <1% 13 (tie) Los Angeles Kings <1% 13 (tie) San Jose Sharks <1%
Winning the President’s Trophy
1 Boston Bruins 79% (▲11) 2 Tampa Bay Lightning 8% (▼5) 3 Colorado Avalanche 6% (▼4) 4 St. Louis Blues 4% (▼1) 5 Philadelphia Flyers (▲1) 2% (▲2) 6 Washington Capitals (▼1) 1% (▼2)
Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.
Winning the Stanley Cup
1 Boston Bruins 15% (▼1) 2 Colorado Avalanche 13% 3 Tampa Bay Lightning 12% (▲1) 4 Philadelphia Flyers (▲1) 10% (▲3) 5 St. Louis Blues (▼1) 9% (▲1) 6 Vegas Golden Knights (▲1) 6% (▲1) 7 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (▲1) 5% (▲1) 7 (tie) Washington Capitals (▼1) 5% (▼1) 9 (tie) Dallas Stars (▼1) 3% (▼1) 9 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▲1) 3% 11 (tie) Calgary Flames (▼1) 2% (▼1) 11 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes (▲2) 2% 11 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (▲2) 2% 11 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▲2) 2% 11 (tie) Nashville Predators (▲2) 2% 11 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (▼1) 2% (▼1) 11 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▲9) 2% (▲1) 18 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (▲2) 1% 18 (tie) Florida Panthers (▲2) 1% 18 (tie) New York Islanders (▼5) 1% (▼1) 18 (tie) New York Rangers (▼5) 1% (▼1) 18 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (▼5) 1% (▼1) 23 (tie) Anaheim Ducks <1% 23 (tie) Buffalo Sabres <1% 23 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks <1% 23 (tie) Detroit Red Wings <1% 23 (tie) Los Angeles Kings <1% 23 (tie) Montreal Canadiens <1% 23 (tie) New Jersey Devils <1% 23 (tie) Ottawa Senators <1% 23 (tie) San Jose Sharks <1%