Tag: ratings

It was a little slower week in the CFL, with only three games, as opposed to last week’s 5 games.  In Friday night’s game, the West’s top team, Winnipeg, visited last-in-the-West Edmonton.  In a closer game than expected, Winnipeg beat Edmonton 26-16.  The game was tied at 16 after three quarters, but Winnipeg put another touchdown and a field goal on the board, while their defense shut out Edmonton — Winnipeg hasn’t given up a touchdown in the fourth quarter yet this season!  Winnipeg is now 9-1, their best start since 1960.

There were two games on Saturday.  In the first, Montreal defeated lowly Ottawa 27-16.  Matthew Shiltz, Montreal’s quarterback, threw for 281 yards in his first start of the season.  Montreal’s defense recorded 10 (yes, 10!!!) sacks in the game.  With the score at 25-13 in Montreal’s favour at the half, there were only 5 more points scored in the second half, three on a field goal for Ottawa in the 3rd quarter, and 2 for Montreal on a safety in the fourth.

In the last game of the week, Calgary powered past British Columbia, 39-10.  This was Calgary’s third straight win, and moved them into 2nd place in the West, tied with Saskatchewan, although the Riders do have a game in hand.  British Columbia has lost three straight, all at home, and have now dropped out of a playoff spot.  Things don’t look much better for them coming up, as they head to Winnipeg next week, while Calgary will host Saskatchewan; that will be Saskatchewan’s third game in a row against Calgary, as they had a bye this week.

Week 11 Results

Winnipeg 26  at Edmonton 16
Montreal 27  at Ottawa 16
Calgary 39  at British Columbia 10

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

Winnipeg remains on top of the McDonald CFL Power Rankings, with a season-high rating of 1613, far ahead of any other team.  But, this is the CFL, and anything can happen!  With their win, Calgary moved up to 2nd spot, pushing Saskatchewan down into 3rd, although they are only 2 rating points ahead of the Riders.  With Montreal’s win, there are now 6 teams with higher than a 1500 rating.  Ottawa continues to dwell in the cellar.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Winnipeg	1613 (▲9)	9-1, 1st West
2 (▲2)	Calgary	1528 (▲13)	5-5, T-2nd West
3 (▼1)	Saskatchewan	1526	5-4, T-2nd West
4 (▼1)	Toronto	1517	6-3, 1st East
5	Hamilton	1511	4-5, 3rd East
6	Montreal	1508 (▲12)	5-4, 2nd East
7	British Columbia	1469 (▼13)	4-5, 4th West
8	Edmonton	1446 (▼9)	2-7, 5th West
9	Ottawa	1406 (▼11)	2-8, 4th East

Grey Cup Predictions

Winnipeg is just so much better than any other team in the league this year.  Based on that, we’re now giving them a 40% chance of winning the Grey Cup.  Toronto continues to be the top team in the East, but with only an 18% chance of winning.  Edmonton and Ottawa now have less than a 1% chance of winning, but they’re not completely eliminated yet!

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Winnipeg	1613	40% (▲1)
2	Toronto	1517	18% (▲1)
3 (▲1)	Montreal	1508	12% (▲2)
4 (▼1)	Hamilton	1511	12%
5	Saskatchewan	1526	8% (▼1)
6	Calgary	1528	8% (▲2)
7	British Columbia	1469	2% (▼2)
8	Edmonton	1446	<1% (▼1)
9	Ottawa	1406	<1%

Our Full Predictions

According to our calculations, Winnipeg is guaranteed at least 2nd place in the West, so they will definitely be hosting a playoff game.  In fact, we’re giving them a greater than 99% chance of winning the Western Division!  British Columbia, Edmonton, and Ottawa are unable to win their divisions, but they all still have a chance of making the playoffs, although we’re only giving Ottawa a 1% chance of that happening.

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 9-1, 1st in West	1613	✔	✔	>99%	>99%	66%	40%
Toronto 6-3, 1st in East	1517	99%	89%	67%	83%	45%	18%
Montreal 5-4, 2nd in East	1508	95%	63%	21%	58%	28%	12%
Hamilton 4-5 3rd in East	1511	84%	48%	12%	50%	23%	12%
Saskatchewan 5-4, T-2nd in West	1526	89%	47%	<1%	46%	16%	8%
Calgary 5-5, T-2nd in West	1528	82%	45%	<1%	43%	15%	8%
British Columbia 4-5, 4th in West	1469	43%	8%	—	17%	6%	2%
Edmonton 2-7, 5th in West	1446	7%	1%	—	3%	1%	<1%
Ottawa 2-8, 4th in East	1406	1%	<1%	—	<1%	<1%	<1%

Week 12 Game Predictions

Friday: Toronto (44%) at Montreal (55%)
Saturday: Ottawa (29%) at Hamilton (70%)
Saturday: British Columbia (25%) at Winnipeg (74%)
Saturday: Saskatchewan (43%) at Calgary (56%)

 

I’ve been away from my computer for a few weeks, so I’m a little behind on my CFL Power Ratings.  But, in the interests of maintaining consistency, I’m catching up with all the reports.  Anyways, here goes…

It was a busy Thanksgiving weekend for football in the CFL, with 5 games played — in a 9 team league!  In fact, British Columbia even had a bye week!  Both Ottawa and Toronto played twice, but spaced out with playing each other on Wednesday, then playing other teams on Monday.

In the Wednesday night game, Toronto scored 27 points in the third quarter to easily defeat Ottawa 35-16.  Although that improved their record to only 5-3, Toronto is 4-0 at home this year.  Ottawa led 9-8 at the half, but Toronto’s strong third quarter, which included a couple of pick-sixes by their defense, put the game away for the home team.  Ottawa rookie quarterback went 23-for-41 for 334 yards, but was intercepted three times.

Friday’s game saw first-place in the West Winnipeg host last-place in the West Edmonton.  The result was as expected, as Winnipeg dominated Edmonton 30-3.  Winnipeg is now 8-1, having won their last 6 games in a row, and are 5-0 at home.  Winnipeg scored 3 safeties in the game, and were led on offense by Andrew Harris, who rushed for 150 yards and two touchdowns.

Saturday’s game had Saskatchewan looking for revenge, as they hosted Calgary after losing a close game in Calgary last week.  They were disappointed, as Calgary defeated Saskatchewan 22-19 on a 44-yard field goal as time expired.  Calgary scored their only touchdown of the game on their very first play from scrimmage, a 71 yard pass.  All the rest of their scoring came on Rene Paredes’ 5  field goals.  Saskatchewan also scored only one touchdown.  Bo Levi Mitchell passed for 296 yards and Ka’Deem Carey rushed for another 109 in the winning effort.

There were two games on Thanksgiving Monday.  In the first, Montreal scored a touchdown with 42 seconds left in the contest to defeat Ottawa 20-16.  Montreal’s quarterback, Vernon Adams Jr., was injured with just over two minutes left, but backup Matthew Shiltz came in and completed Adams’ drive to give Montreal the victory.  Ottawa sacked Adams six times in the game, but Cameron Artis-Payne’s ground game, 122 yards on 21 carries in his first CFL start, carried the Alouettes to victory.

The last game of the weekend, played while most of the country was eating turkey or napping, saw Toronto defeat Hamilton 24-23.  Both quarterbacks had big games, with Toronto’s Mclead Bethel-Thompson passing for 388 yards and two touchdowns and Hamilton’s Jeremiah Masoli passing for 361 yards and his own pair of touchdowns.  Toronto scored 19 points in the fourth quarter, to Hamilton’s 10, including the game-winning 51 yard field goal from Boris Bede.

Week 10 Results

Ottawa 16  at Toronto 35
Edmonton 3  at Winnipeg 30
Calgary 22  at Saskatchewan 19
Ottawa 16  at Montreal 20
Toronto 24  at Hamilton 23

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

With their two wins in the week, Toronto made a big move up in the McDonald CFL Power Rankings, now ranking 3rd.  Winnipeg continues to lead the rankings, with Saskatchewan far behind in second.  Despite staying in second place, Saskatchewan has lost 29 points in the last two weeks, following back-to-back losses to Calgary.  The race for second place in the West has become a lot closer, with Calgary only a game back of Saskatchewan.  Interesting to note, 5 teams are above a 1500 rating, the first time that has happened this season.  Ottawa continues to trail in the rankings.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Winnipeg	1604 (▲7)	8-1, 1st West
2	Saskatchewan	1526 (▼16)	5-4, 2nd West
3	Toronto (▲2)	1517 (▲24)	6-3, 1st East
4	Calgary	1515 (▲16)	4-5, T-3rd West
5	Hamilton (▼2)	1511 (▼15)	4-5, T-2nd East
6	Montreal	1496 (▲9)	4-4, T-2nd East
7	British Columbia	1482	4-4, T-3rd West
8	Edmonton	1455 (▼6)	2-6, 5th West
9	Ottawa	1417 (▼17)	2-7, 4th East

Grey Cup Predictions

Winnipeg remains the favourite to win the Grey Cup.  They win in 39% of our simulations.  Toronto is now the most likely team from the East to win, with a 19% chance.  In fact, the second, third, and fourth most likely teams to win all come from the East.  Calgary has been moving up in the rankings, but we still only give them a 6% chance of winning it all.  It’s tough playing in the same division as Winnipeg!  Overall, we’re giving Western teams a 58% chance of winning the Grey Cup.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Winnipeg	1604	39% (▲3)
2 (▲1)	Toronto	1517	19% (▲6)
3 (▼1)	Hamilton	1511	12% (▼8)
4 (▲1)	Montreal	1496	10% (▲2)
5 (▼1)	Saskatchewan	1526	9% (▼3)
6 (▲1)	Calgary	1515	6% (▲2)
7 (▼1)	British Columbia	1482	4%
8 (▲1)	Edmonton	1455	1%
9 (▼1)	Ottawa	1417	<1% (▼2)

Our Full Predictions

Winnipeg has clinched a playoff spot, while it is now impossible for Edmonton to win the West Division.

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 8-1, 1st in West	1604	✔	>99%	99%	99%	65%	39%
Toronto 6-3, 1st in East	1517	99%	91%	71%	86%	47%	19%
Hamilton 4-5, T-2nd in East	1511	85%	57%	14%	52%	25%	12%
Montreal 4-4, T-2nd in East	1496	85%	50%	15%	49%	23%	10%
Saskatchewan 5-4, 2nd in West	1526	86%	51%	<1%	46%	17%	9%
Calgary 4-5, T-3rd in West	1515	62%	28%	1%	32%	12%	6%
British Columbia 4-4, T-3rd in West	1482	64%	20%	<1%	28%	9%	4%
Edmonton 2-6, 5th in West	1455	12%	2%	—	5%	2%	1%
Ottawa 2-7, 4th in East	1417	6%	2%	<1%	3%	1%	<1%

Week 11 Game Predictions

Friday: Winnipeg (63%) at Edmonton (36%)
Saturday: Montreal (53%) at Ottawa (46%)
Saturday: Calgary (48%) at British Columbia (51%)

 

I’ve been away from my computer for a few weeks, so I’m a little behind on my CFL Power Ratings.  But, in the interests of maintaining consistency, I’m catching up with all the reports.  Anyways, here goes…

A Tuesday night game in the CFL?  Strange, but in a high-scoring contest, the last place in the East Ottawa RedBlacks defeated the last place in the West Edmonton Elks, 34-24.  Ottawa’s rookie quarterback Caleb Evans made his CFL start, and threw three touchdown passes.  Punt returner DeVonte Dedmon scored another touchdown on a punt return.  Despite passing for 334 yards and two touchdowns, QB Taylor Cornelius couldn’t lead the Elks to victory.

The second game of the week featured the top-ranked Winnipeg Blue Bombers visiting the BC Lions on Friday night.  Unsurprisingly, Winnipeg dominated, beating BC 30-9.  Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros completed 28 of 33 passes, throwing for 417 yards and two touchdowns.  Yes, 417 yards!!!  Kenny Lawler caught 12 of those passes for 205 yards.  The Winnipeg defense sacked Lions’ quarterback Michael Reilly five times.

Saturday saw two games being played.  In the upset of the week, Montreal edged Hamilton 23-20 in overtime.  Montreal overcame a 17-3 deficit in the 4th quarter, and scored on their final drive of regulation time, including converting two 3rd down situations, including a 3rd-and-20 on which they took the lead 20-17.  But, Hamilton kicker Taylor Bertolet put through a 55-yard field goal as time ran out to send the game to overtime.  In overtime, Hamilton fumbled the ball with Montreal recovering to end the first drive, and on the second, Montreal kicked a 36 yard field goal to take the victory.

In the final game of the week, Calgary held off Saskatchewan to win 23-17.  Trailing 23-14, the Riders kicked a field goal with 1:46 left to cut the lead to 6.  On the ensuing kickoff, Saskatchewan was able to recover the kick, but the play was called back because of an illegal interference call.  On the re-do, they recovered again!  Needing a touchdown, they marched down to the Calgary 41, but on a 3rd-and-10 pass, Calgary intercepted on their own 5 yard line and were able to run out the clock for the victory.

Week 9 Results

Edmonton 24  at Ottawa 34
Winnipeg 30  at British Columbia 9
Montreal 23  at Hamilton 20
Saskatchewan 17  at Calgary 23

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

There was no change in the top 3 teams this week, but Winnipeg expands their claim to best in the league, as they’ve now got a 55 point lead of McDonald CFL Power Rating points.  Calgary has moved up to 4th place, just one point below the magic 1500 good/bad point.  Despite their win this week, Ottawa remains the lowest team in our rankings.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Winnipeg	1597 (▲11)	7-1, 1st West
2	Saskatchewan	1542 (▼13)	5-3, 2nd West
3	Hamilton	1526 (▼17)	4-4, T-1st East
4 (▲2)	Calgary	1499 (▲13)	3-5, 4th West
5 (▼1)	Toronto	1493	4-3, T-1st East
6 (▲2)	Montreal	1487 (▲17)	3-4, 3rd East
7 (▼3)	British Columbia	1482 (▼11)	4-4, 3rd West
8 (▼1)	Edmonton	1461 (▼12)	2-5, 5th West
9	Ottawa	1434 (▲13)	2-5, 4th East

Grey Cup Predictions

Winnipeg continues to be the team with the greatest chance of winning the Grey Cup, with a 36% chance.  Hamilton is the most-likely team in the East, with a 20% chance, although that’s down 6 percentage points from last week.  Beyond those two, there was lots of shuffling of teams, with Montreal (8% chance) and Calgary (4%) chance both up 3% from last week.  We’ve also calculated a 56% chance of a Western team winning the Cup.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Winnipeg	1597	36% (▲7)
2	Hamilton	1526	20% (▼6)
3 (▲1)	Toronto	1493	13% (▲1)
4 (▼1)	Saskatchewan	1542	12% (▼3)
5 (▲1)	Montreal	1487	8% (▲3)
6 (▼1)	British Columbia	1482	4% (▼2)
7 (▲1)	Calgary	1499	4% (▲3)
8 (▲1)	Ottawa	1434	2% (▲1)
9 (▼2)	Edmonton	1461	1% (▼1)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 7-1, 1st in West	1597	>99%	99%	95%	98%	62%	36%
Hamilton 4-4, T-1st in East	1526	93%	78%	44%	72%	40%	20%
Toronto 4-3, T-1st in East	1493	89%	69%	40%	64%	32%	13%
Saskatchewan 5-3, 2nd in West	1542	93%	72%	4%	57%	22%	12%
Montreal 3-4, 3rd in East	1487	74%	42%	13%	43%	19%	8%
British Columbia 4-4, 3rd in West	1482	69%	12%	1%	27%	9%	4%
Calgary 3-5, 4th in West	1499	40%	12%	<1%	19%	7%	4%
Ottawa 2-5, 4th in East	1434	25%	11%	3%	13%	5%	2%
Edmonton 2-5, 5th in West	1461	17%	4%	<1%	7%	3%	1%

Week 10 Game Predictions

Wednesday: Ottawa (35%) at Toronto (64%)
Friday: Edmonton (26%) at Winnipeg (73%)
Saturday: Calgary (37%) at Saskatchewan (62%)
Monday: Ottawa (36%) at Montreal (63%)
Monday: Toronto (38%) at Hamilton (61%)

It was a quieter week in the CFL this week with only 3 games played.  Plus, the first game of the week was played on Wednesday, and two games were played on Friday.  No weekend games!  Very odd.  Plus, one game that looked close in the final score wasn’t, and another that didn’t look close was!

The Wednesday night game saw number 3-ranked Hamilton visit the lowest ranked team in the CFL, Ottawa.  Hamilton beat the RedBlacks easily, 24-7.  In a rainy night in Ottawa, the RedBlacks were only able to score one special teams touchdown, as DeVonte Dedmon returned a punt 63 yards for Ottawa’s only score.

In the first game of a Friday night doubleheader, Montreal visited Toronto.  Toronto led 21-10 at the half, and 30-20 with just over a minute left.  Montreal scored a touchdown to make the game closer, but weren’t able to come back, as Toronto defeated Montreal 30-27.  Vernon Adams passed for 382 yards for the Alouettes, and William Stanback rushed for another 133, but neither performance was enough to secure the victory.

And the most exciting game of the week, Saskatchewan squeaked by British Columbia 31-24.  BC led 24-18 with 20 seconds to go in the game, but the Riders were third and goal at the BC 1 yard line.  Cody Fajardo did the old quarterback sneak to tie up the game with 2 seconds left, and Brett Lauther converted to give the Riders a one point lead.  On the resulting kickoff, the Lions fumbled the ball, the Riders picked it up and rumbled into the endzone to put an exclamation mark on the victory!  Final score, Saskatchewan 31, BC 24.

Week 8 Results

Hamilton 24  at Ottawa 7
Montreal 27  at Toronto 30
Saskatchewan 31  at British Columbia 24

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

There wasn’t a lot of movement in the McDonald CFL Power Rankings this week.  Winnipeg, Saskatchewan, and Hamilton remain numbers 1, 2, and 3.  Toronto jumped from 6th into a tie for 4th with British Columbia, pushing Calgary down to 6th.  There’s only 23 rating points separating the 4th through 8th teams, so all those teams are pretty close.  Ottawa continues to hold the lowest ranking.  And once again, only the top 3 teams have ratings above the 1500 point average.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Winnipeg	1586	6-1, 1st West
2	Saskatchewan	1555 (▲13)	5-2, 2nd West
3	Hamilton	1543 (▲11)	4-3, T-1st East
T-4 (▲2)	Toronto	1493 (▲11)	4-3, T-1st East
T-4	British Columbia	1493 (▼13)	4-3, 3rd West
6 (▼1)	Calgary	1486	2-5, T-4th West
7 (▲1)	Edmonton	1473	2-4, T-4th West
8 (▼1)	Montreal	1470 (▼11)	2-4, 3rd East
9	Ottawa	1421 (▼11)	1-5, 4th East

Grey Cup Predictions

Winnipeg remains the favourite to win the Grey Cup, as they win it all in 29% of our simulations.  However, that is a drop of 1% from last week.  Hamilton is the second favourite at 26%.  Saskatchewan at 15% and Toronto at 12% are the only other teams with more than a 10% chance of winning.  And lowly Ottawa now has just a 1% chance of taking home the Cup.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Winnipeg	1586	29% (▼1)
2	Hamilton	1543	26% (▲3)
3	Saskatchewan	1555	15% (▲3)
4	Toronto	1493	12% (▲2)
5	British Columbia	1493	6% (▼3)
6	Montreal	1470	5% (▼3)
7 (▲1)	Edmonton	1473	2% (▼1)
8 (▲1)	Calgary	1486	2%
9 (▼2)	Ottawa	1421	1% (▼2)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 6-1 1st in West	1586	>99%	93%	78%	90%	54%	29%
Hamilton 4-3 T-1st in East	1543	97%	90%	60%	82%	49%	26%
Saskatchewan 5-2 2nd in West	1555	96%	77%	15%	63%	28%	15%
Toronto 4-3 T-1st in East	1493	90%	74%	33%	63%	29%	12%
British Columbia 4-3 3rd in West	1493	80%	19%	5%	34%	13%	6%
Montreal 2-4 3rd in East	1470	58%	27%	6%	30%	12%	5%
Edmonton 2-4 T-4th in West	1473	31%	6%	1%	14%	5%	2%
Calgary 2-5 T-4th in West	1486	27%	6%	<1%	12%	5%	2%
Ottawa 1-5 4th in East	1421	21%	9%	1%	10%	4%	1%

Week 9 Game Predictions

Edmonton (50%) at Ottawa (50%)
Winnipeg (55%) at British Columbia (44%)
Montreal (33%) at Hamilton (66%)
Saskatchewan (52%) at Calgary (47%)

After 7 weeks into the season, we’re finally confident that the uncertainty in our predictions due to the cancelled 2020 season has worked itself out, and we’ve got a good feeling about our ratings and predictions now.  This week’s games went pretty much as expected, and there wasn’t a lot of movement with our rankings or probabilities.

Once again, there were four games this week, but this time with two games on Friday and two on Saturday.  In Friday’s early game, Hamilton quarterback David Watford got the win in his first career start, with a 23-17 victory at home over Calgary.  The top scorer in the game, though, was Hamilton kicker Taylor Bertolet, who booted 5 field goals.

In the second game on Friday, Saskatchewan snapped their two game losing streak with a decisive 30-16 victory over the visiting Toronto Argonauts.  The Riders’ William Powell rushed for 122 yards, while quarterback Cody Fajardo passed for two touchdowns and ran in another for the victory.  Despite losing their previous two games, Saskatchewan is now 4-0 against teams that aren’t Winnipeg.

In the first game on Saturday, visiting British Columbia surprised Montreal 27-18.  Michael Reilly passed for 308 yards and two touchdowns for the Lions, while the BC defense set an all-time single-game record with 13 knockdowns.  I didn’t even know that was a statistic that was tracked.

And rounding out the week, top-ranked Winnipeg hammered the Elks in Edmonton 37-22.  Although they were down 16-15 in the third quarter, Winnipeg scored two defensive touchdowns, one on a pick-six on the Edmonton 20 yard line, and another on a fumble recovery on the Edmonton 3.  Winnipeg never looked back after that.

Week 7 Results

Calgary 17  at Hamilton 23
Toronto 16  at Saskatchewan 30
British Columbia 27  at Montreal 18
Winnipeg 37  at Edmonton 22

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

Winnipeg remains the top-ranked team in the McDonald CFL Power Ratings.  With their 6-1 record, they have increased their lead in the Power Ratings over second-ranked Saskatchewan.  Hamilton, in a tie for 1st in the East, is the top-ranked Eastern team.  With their road upset over Montreal, British Columbia’s rating has risen above the average 1500 rating, and moved them into 4th in the rankings.  Although Ottawa is the bottom ranked team, they closed the gap on teams 5 through 8 by not playing!  Sadly, that might be the best way for Ottawa to move up in the rankings.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Winnipeg	1586 (▲11)	6-1, 1st West
2	Saskatchewan	1542 (▲9)	4-2, T-2nd West
3	Hamilton	1532 (▲10)	3-3, T-1st East
4 (▲2)	British Columbia	1506 (▲14)	4-2, T-2nd West
5 (▼1)	Calgary	1486 (▼10)	2-5, T-4th West
6 (▲1)	Toronto	1482 (▼9)	3-3, T-1st East
7 (▼2)	Montreal	1481 (▼14)	2-3, 3rd East
8	Edmonton	1473 (▼11)	2-4, T-4th West
9	Ottawa	1432	1-4, 4th East

Grey Cup Predictions

Winnipeg remains the favourite to win the Grey Cup, and we’re giving them a season-high 30% chance of winning it all.  In fact, we’ve calculated that they have a greater than 99% chance of making the playoffs!  Hamilton remains the Eastern team with the best chance of winning, with a 23% chance.  Ottawa, Edmonton, and Calgary all have extremely thin chances of winning, as we’re giving them a 3%, 3%, and 2% chance of winning.

Our numbers show that there is a 56% chance of a Western team winning the Grey Cup, versus 44% for an Eastern team.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Winnipeg	1586	30% (▲2)
2	Hamilton	1532	23% (▲5)
3 (▲2)	Saskatchewan	1542	12% (▲1)
4 (▼1)	Toronto	1482	10% (▼2)
5 (▲1)	British Columbia	1506	9% (▲1)
6 (▼2)	Montreal	1481	8% (▼4)
7 (▲2)	Ottawa	1432	3% (▲1)
8 (▼1)	Edmonton	1473	3% (▼2)
9 (▼1)	Calgary	1486	2% (▼2)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 6-1 1st in West	1586	>99%	93%	75%	89%	54%	30%
Hamilton 3-3 T-1st in East	1532	90%	79%	51%	73%	43%	23%
Saskatchewan 4-2 T-2nd in West	1542	89%	52%	9%	52%	23%	12%
Toronto 3-3 T-1st in East	1482	80%	60%	28%	54%	25%	10%
British Columbia 4-2 T-2nd in West	1506	88%	43%	14%	46%	19%	9%
Montreal 2-3 3rd in East	1481	67%	43%	15%	41%	19%	8%
Ottawa 1-4 4th in East	1432	31%	18%	6%	18%	7%	3%
Edmonton 2-4 T-4th in West	1473	30%	6%	1%	14%	5%	3%
Calgary 2-5 T-4th in West	1486	26%	5%	<1%	12%	5%	2%

Week 8 Game Predictions

Hamilton (56%) at Ottawa (43%)
Montreal (43%) at Toronto (56%)
Saskatchewan (48%) at British Columbia (51%)

A pretty lame write-up this week, but here you go!

Argos hold off Ticats to claim 1st place in East
Bombers defeat Riders for a second-straight Banjo Bowl title
Stamps put the clamps on Elks’ offence for 2nd win
Lions roar in dominant win over Redblacks

Week 6 Results

Hamilton 16  at Toronto 17
Saskatchewan 9  at Winnipeg 33
Calgary 32  at Edmonton 16
Ottawa 13  at British Columbia 45

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Winnipeg	1575 (▲10)	5-1, 1st West
2	Saskatchewan	1533 (▼10)	3-2, T-2nd West
3	Hamilton	1522 (▼13)	2-3, T-2nd East
4 (▲3)	Calgary	1496 (▲15)	2-4, T-4th West
5	Montreal	1495	2-2, T-2nd East
6	British Columbia	1492 (▲9)	3-2, T-2nd West
7 (▲1)	Toronto	1491 (▲13)	3-2, 1st East
8 (▼4)	Edmonton	1484 (▼15)	2-3, T-4th West
9	Ottawa	1432 (▼9)	1-4, 4th East

Grey Cup Predictions

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Winnipeg	1575	28% (▲5)
2	Hamilton	1522	18% (▼4)
3 (▲2)	Toronto	1491	12% (▲3)
4	Montreal	1495	12% (▲1)
5 (▼2)	Saskatchewan	1533	11% (▼4)
6 (▲1)	British Columbia	1492	8% (▲2)
7	Edmonton	1484	5% (▼3)
8 (▲1)	Calgary	1496	4% (▲2)
9	Ottawa	1432	2% (▼1)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 5-1 1st in West	1575	98%	88%	70%	85%	51%	28%
Hamilton 2-3 T-2nd in East	1522	80%	65%	34%	60%	33%	18%
Toronto 3-2 1st in East	1491	83%	64%	35%	59%	29%	12%
Montreal 2-2 T-2nd in East	1495	77%	56%	26%	52%	26%	12%
Saskatchewan 3-2 T-2nd in West	1533	80%	48%	11%	48%	21%	11%
British Columbia 3-2 T-2nd in West	1492	73%	35%	12%	39%	16%	8%
Edmonton 2-3 T-4th in West	1484	44%	16%	5%	23%	6%	5%
Calgary 2-4 T-4th in West	1496	38%	13%	2%	20%	8%	4%
Ottawa 1-4 4th in East	1432	27%	15%	5%	14%	6%	2%

Week 7 Game Predictions

Calgary (39%) at Hamilton (60%)
Toronto (37%) at Saskatchewan (62%)
British Columbia (42%) at Montreal (57%)
Winnipeg (55%) at Edmonton (44%)

There were lots of surprises in last week’s games, as the visiting teams won 3 of the 4 Mark’s Labour Day Weekend games, whereas the McDonald CFL Power Ratings team were expecting a clean sweep by the hosts.  As a result, there was lots of movement in the Power Rankings and Ratings this week.

The first game of the weekend was Friday night in Ottawa, where Montreal thumped Ottawa 51-29 in the highest-scoring game of the season so far.  Vernon Adams Jr. threw for four touchdowns in the victory, and there were 33 points scored in the 4th quarter!

The next game of the weekend was on Sunday, as Winnipeg visited Saskatchewan for the most highly-anticipated game of the year, as Saskatchewan was ranked #1 and Winnipeg #2.  In the battle for top spot in the West, both teams managed to disappoint in a lacklustre showing, with the Blue Bombers coming out on top 23-8.  For a Labour Day Classic, the game was anything but classic, as the top scorer for the Riders was kicker Brett Lauther, with 2 field goals and a rouge.

There were two games on Labour Day, with Hamilton hosting their own version of a Labour Day Classic.  They didn’t treat the visiting Toronto Argonauts well, as they took a 25-4 lead into the fourth quarter and cruised to a 32-19 victory.

In the final game of the weekend, the first half of the Battle of Alberta took place in Calgary, with the visiting Edmonton Elks finishing with a strong fourth quarter to defeat the Stampeders 32-20.  The game was tied 17-17 after three quarters, but Edmonton scored the last 15 points of the game.  Trevor Harris was truly the star of the game, passing for 398 yards and four touchdowns in the victory.

Three of next week’s games feature rematches, as Saskatchewan and Winnipeg, Hamilton and Toronto, and Calgary and Edmonton swap stadiums to face each other again.  British Columbia returns from their bye week to face Ottawa in the other game.

Week 5 Results

Montreal 51  at Ottawa 29
Winnipeg 23  at Saskatchewan 8
Toronto 19  at Hamilton 32
Edmonton 32  at Calgary 20

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

With Winnipeg’s win over Saskatchewan, those two teams swap positions in the McDonald CFL Power Rankings, with Winnipeg now on top.  Saskatchewan does stay in 2nd place, although Hamilton edged closer, being ranked third despite their 2-2 record.  In fact, 5 teams are at 2-2 now!  With their loss to Edmonton, Calgary has dropped down in the rankings, and now are ranked 7th, a big surprise for a team that has been strong for a number of years now.  Their 1-4 record is worst in the CFL, although we’re still giving the lowest ranking in the league to Ottawa.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1 (▲1)	Winnipeg	1565 (▲14)	4-1, 1st West
2 (▼1)	Saskatchewan	1543 (▼14)	3-1, 2nd West
3	Hamilton	1535 (▲10)	2-2, 1st West
4 (▲2)	Edmonton	1499 (▲15)	2-2, T-3rd West
5 (▲3)	Montreal	1495 (▲13)	2-2, T-1st East
6 (▲1)	British Columbia	1483	2-2, T-3rd West
7 (▼3)	Calgary	1481 (▼15)	1-4, 5th West
8 (▼3)	Toronto	1478 (▼9)	2-2, T-1st East
9	Ottawa	1441 (▼13)	1-3, 4th East

Grey Cup Predictions

After defeating Saskatchewan, we now have calculated that Winnipeg has the best chance of winning the Grey Cup, at 23%.  Not far behind is Hamilton, who right now are the cream of the crop in the East.  Despite being ranked third in the CFL, Hamilton is the mostly likely team to advance out of the East, and as they are the host city this year, the hometown crowd gives them a decent chance of winning if they make it to the final.  Saskatchewan’s chances have dropped significantly in the last two weeks, from 23% to 15% currently.  We’re giving Calgary the least chance of winning, at just 2%, as they are currently sitting in last place in a strong Western division.

As far as East vs. West, we’re giving a Western team a 54% chance of winning the Grey Cup, versus last week’s 55%.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1 (▲2)	Winnipeg	1565	23% (▲5)
2	Hamilton	1535	22% (▲3)
3 (▼2)	Saskatchewan	1543	15% (▼6)
4 (▲1)	Montreal	1495	11% (▲3)
5 (▼1)	Toronto	1478	9% (▼3)
6 (▲2)	Edmonton	1499	8% (▲3)
7 (▼1)	British Columbia	1483	6%
8 (▼1)	Ottawa	1441	3% (▼3)
9	Calgary	1481	2% (▼3)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 4-1 1st in West	1565	95%	78%	54%	76%	44%	23%
Hamilton 2-2 T-1st in East	1535	86%	75%	47%	70%	40%	22%
Saskatchewan 3-1 2nd in West	1543	86%	59%	24%	58%	29%	15%
Montreal 2-2 T-1st in East	1495	76%	57%	23%	51%	24%	11%
Toronto 2-2 T-1st in East	1478	70%	48%	22%	45%	21%	9%
Edmonton 2-2 T-3rd in West	1499	64%	29%	12%	36%	16%	8%
British Columbia 2-2 T-3rd in West	1483	64%	27%	9%	32%	13%	6%
Ottawa 1-3 4th in East	1441	36%	20%	7%	20%	9%	3%
Calgary 1-4 5th in West	1481	23%	7%	1%	12%	5%	2%

Week 6 Game Predictions

Hamilton (50%) at Toronto (49%)
Saskatchewan (40%) at Winnipeg (59%)
Calgary (40%) at Edmonton (59%)
Ottawa (37%) at British Columbia (62%)

 

The big story in Week 4 was that the Edmonton – Toronto game was postponed due to a number of Elks players testing positive for COVID-19.  According to the CFL’s protocol, the league will attempt to reschedule the game; if it can’t be rescheduled, Toronto would be awarded a 1-0 win.  Luckily for the Elks, the league was able to reschedule the game into Week 16.  Unfortunately for the Elks, though, that means they’ve got 3 games in 7 days at the end of the season.

In Friday night’s game, Hamilton thumped Montreal 27-10.  It was Hamilton’s first win of the season, and was highlighted by kick returner Frankie Williams, who gained 184 yards on returns and also made an interception on defense.

In Saturday’s game, BC defeated Ottawa 24-12.  Quarterback Michael Reilly passed for 301 yards in a winning effort.

In Sunday’s final game of the week, Winnipeg won a squeaker over Calgary, 18-16.  Winnipeg kicker Marc Liegghio booted a 45 yard field goal with 37 seconds left to take the lead, and Calgary almost came back, but Rene Paredes’ last-second attempt from 52 yards fell short, giving Winnipeg the victory.  On the losing side, Calgary rookie quarterback Jake Maier completed his first 17 passes, including a perfect first half, and finished 30 for 39 and 307 yards.

As always, it’s a big set of Labour Day weekend games.  The biggest game, of course, comes Sunday as the top two teams in the league, Saskatchewan and Winnipeg, face off in the Labour Day Classic.  Another interesting game to watch will be Edmonton at Calgary on Monday, as both teams try to get their seasons on track.  The other two games are Montreal at Ottawa on Friday and Toronto at Hamilton on Monday.

Week 4 Results

Postponed: Edmonton at Toronto
Hamilton 27  at Montreal 10
British Columbia 24  at Ottawa 12
Calgary 16  at Winnipeg 18

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

Not many changes in the rankings this week.  Saskatchewan retains the top spot, although with their bye week and Winnipeg’s win, Winnipeg has closed the gap.  The top spot in the rankings will be up for grabs in their Labour Day Classic game in Regina on Sunday.  The only change in the rankings was Montreal; with their big loss to Hamilton, they’ve dropped down to 8th in the rankings, pushing Toronto, Edmonton, and B.C. up one spot each.  However, there are only 5 rating points separating teams 5 through 8, so there’s really no clear better team in that group.

It’s interesting to note that only three teams have ratings above the baseline of 1500; are Saskatchewan and Winnipeg that much better than the rest of the league?  Possibly.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Saskatchewan	1557	3-0, 1st West
2	Winnipeg	1551 (▲10)	3-1, 2nd West
3	Hamilton	1525 (▲14)	1-2, T-2nd East
4	Calgary	1496 (▼9)	1-2, T-3rd West
5 (▲1)	Toronto	1487	2-1, 1st East
6 (▲1)	Edmonton	1484	1-2, 4th West
7 (▲1)	British Columbia	1483 (▲14)	2-2, 3rd West
8 (▼3)	Montreal	1482 (▼14)	1-2, T-2nd East
9	Ottawa	1454 (▼14)	1-2, T-2nd East

Grey Cup Predictions

Saskatchewan remains our favourite to win the Grey Cup, although their chances dropped slightly to 21%.  Hamilton is now the number-2 favourite, jumping 6 percentage points to a 19% chance of winning it all.  Winnipeg also closed the gap on Saskatchewan, and now have an 18% chance of winning.  Perhaps most surprising is Calgary, who are ranked 4th in the McDonald CFL Power Ratings, but with their 1-3 record in the strong West division, only have a 5% chance of winning the Grey Cup.  We’re still giving a 55% chance of a Western division team winning the league championship, versus a 45% chance of an Eastern team, no change from the last two weeks.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Saskatchewan	1557	21% (▼2)
2 (▲1)	Hamilton	1525	19% (▲6)
3 (▼1)	Winnipeg	1551	18% (▲2)
4 (▲1)	Toronto	1487	12% (▲1)
5 (▼1)	Montreal	1482	8% (▼4)
6 (▲3)	British Columbia	1483	6% (▲1)
7 (▼1)	Ottawa	1454	6% (▼2)
8	Edmonton	1484	5% (▼1)
9 (▼2)	Calgary	1496	5% (▼2)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Saskatchewan 3-0 1st in West	1557	92%	73%	46%	71%	39%	21%
Hamilton 1-2 T-2nd in East	1525	78%	63%	36%	60%	34%	19%
Winnipeg 3-1 2nd in West	1551	89%	65%	34%	64%	34%	18%
Toronto 2-1 1st in East	1487	77%	60%	34%	55%	28%	12%
Montreal 1-2 T-2nd in East	1482	60%	41%	16%	39%	18%	8%
British Columbia 2-2 3rd in West	1483	65%	28%	9%	33%	13%	6%
Ottawa 1-2 T-2nd in East	1454	53%	36%	14%	32%	14%	6%
Edmonton 1-2 4th in West	1484	47%	19%	6%	25%	11%	5%
Calgary 1-3 5th in West	1496	39%	14%	4%	21%	9%	5%

Week 4 Game Predictions

Montreal (47%) at Ottawa (52%)
Winnipeg (42%) at Saskatchewan (57%)
Toronto (38%) at Hamilton (61%)
Edmonton (41%) at Calgary (58%)

 

Teams continue to gain their footing as Week 3 has completed in the CFL.  In the Thursday night game, Trevor Harris threw for 296 yards and James Wilder Jr. rushed for 127 yards as the Edmonton Elks spoiled the BC Lions home opener, winning 21-16.

On Friday night, Calgary defeated Montreal 28-22 at home for their first win of the season.  Jake Maier made his CFL debut as the starting quarterback for Calgary, replacing the injured Bo Levi Mitchell, and passed for 304 yards and a touchdown for his first career win.  Montreal almost came back to win it, but Calgary managed to stop them at the goal line as time ran out on the clock.

In the early game on Saturday, top-ranked Winnipeg travelled to Toronto for the first game to be held in the East this year.  Toronto surprised the Blue Bombers with a 30-23 win for the hometown team.  Nick Arbuckle, the Toronto quarterback, completed 23 of 32 passes for 310 yards to pick up the win for the Argos.

And in Saturday’s late game, Saskatchewan never trailed as they dominated Ottawa 23-10.  Cody Fajardo passed for 321 yards, but it was the Rider defense that starred.  Saskatchewan is now the only undefeated team in the CFL, and the win has moved them into the top spot in the McDonald CFL Power Rankings.

The big story next week is the Edmonton game in Toronto on Thursday night.  It’s been postponed due to a number of Elks players testing positive for COVID-19 (14 at press time).  As per the CFL’s COVID protocol, the game has been postponed, but a new date for the game has not been announced yet.  If the CFL can’t find a date to play the game, Toronto will be awarded a 1-0 win.  Our McDonald CFL Power Ratings team was giving Toronto a 57% chance of winning the game.

In Friday night’s game, Hamilton visits Montreal.  Although we’ve got Hamilton rated higher than Montreal, we’re giving Montreal a slight edge to win this game due to home field advantage, with a 54% chance of winning.  Hamilton is looking for their first win of the season, while if Montreal wins, they’ll move into a tie for first place in the East with Toronto.

Saturday’s early game has BC travelling to Ottawa.  These teams are ranked at the bottom of our Power Ratings, so they’re both looking for a critical victory to get their season on track.  We’re giving Ottawa the edge here, with a 56% chance of winning the game.

In the final game of the weekend on Saturday, Calgary travels to Winnipeg.  Winnipeg is looking to bounce back after their loss to Ottawa last week, while Calgary is looking for their second straight victory.  The McDonald CFL Power Rating boys are predicting a Winnipeg win, with a 61% chance of that happening.  With a win, Winnipeg can retake the top ranking over the idle Saskatchewan Roughriders.

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

We’ve got a new top-ranked team this week.  With Saskatchewan’s win over Ottawa, and Winnipeg’s loss to Toronto, Saskatchewan has now taken over top spot in the McDonald CFL Power Rankings, with Winnipeg dropping to second.  Both teams are rated much stronger than the rest of the league.  Other moves up include Toronto, moving up from 8th to 6th, and Edmonton, from 9th to 7th, while drop downs include British Columbia (6th to 8th) and Ottawa (7th to 9th).  Ottawa is now our lowest ranked team.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1 (▲1)	Saskatchewan	1557 (▲8)	3-0, 1st West
2 (▼1)	Winnipeg	1541 (▼13)	2-1, 2nd West
3	Hamilton	1511	0-2, 4th East
4 (▲1)	Calgary	1505 (▲11)	1-2, T-3rd West
5 (▼1)	Montreal	1496 (▼11)	1-1, T-2nd East
6 (▲2)	Toronto	1487 (▲14)	2-1, 1st East
7 (▲2)	Edmonton	1484 (▲15)	1-2, T-3rd West
8 (▼2)	British Columbia	1469 (▼15)	1-2, T-3rd West
9 (▼2)	Ottawa	1468 (▼8)	1-1, T-2nd East

Grey Cup Predictions

Saskatchewan is now our favourite to win the Grey Cup, at a whopping 23% chance.  The next closest team is Winnipeg, who we’re giving a 16% chance.  The top Eastern team is Hamilton with a 13% chance, followed closely by Montreal at 12% and Toronto at 11%.  We’re giving a 55% chance of a Western division team winning the league championship, versus a 45% chance of an Eastern team, no change from last week.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Saskatchewan	1557	23% (▲4)
2	Winnipeg	1541	16% (▼4)
3	Hamilton	1511	13%
4	Montreal	1496	12% (▼2)
5	Toronto	1487	11% (▲3)
6	Ottawa	1468	8% (▼2)
7	Calgary	1505	7% (▲2)
8	Edmonton	1484	6% (▲2)
9	British Columbia	1469	5% (▼2)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Saskatchewan 3-0 1st in West	1557	92%	76%	50%	73%	41%	23%
Winnipeg 2-1 2nd in West	1541	82%	58%	28%	57%	29%	16%
Hamilton 0-2 4th in East	1511	63%	43%	20%	44%	23%	13%
Montreal 1-1 T-2nd in East	1496	72%	53%	27%	50%	26%	12%
Toronto 2-1 1st in East	1487	77%	58%	30%	53%	26%	11%
Ottawa 1-1 T-2nd in East	1468	66%	46%	22%	43%	20%	8%
Calgary 1-2 T-3rd in West	1505	51%	24%	9%	30%	14%	7%
Edmonton 1-2 T-3rd in West	1484	48%	21%	7%	26%	11%	6%
British Columbia 1-2 T-3rd in West	1469	49%	20%	6%	25%	10%	5%

Week 4 Game Predictions

Edmonton (42%) at Toronto (57%) — POSTPONED DUE TO COVID-19
Hamilton (45%) at Montreal (54%)
British Columbia (43%) at Ottawa (56%)
Calgary (38%) at Winnipeg (61%)

 

In Week 2, defense seemed to be the key in the CFL.  Opening the week on Thursday Night Football, British Columbia defeated host Calgary 15-9.  BC picked off Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell four times for the first time in his career.

Friday night’s game featured Toronto visiting top-ranked Winnipeg.  Both Winnipeg’s offense and defense both looked strong, as they took an early lead and never looked back, winning 20-7.

In Saturday’s early game, Montreal travelled to Edmonton to open their season.  A strong performance by them, and a weak performance by Edmonton, resulted in a 30-13 win for Montreal.

Saturday’s late game involved 2nd-ranked Saskatchewan playing host to 3rd-ranked Hamilton.  Despite being penalized 20 times for 187 yards, and being held rougeless, the Roughriders dominated and won 30-8.

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

Winnipeg and Saskatchewan remain the top 2 teams this week, and despite being 0-2, Hamilton has retained 3rd place in the McDonald CFL Power Rankings.  British Columbia made a big move, jumping 3 spots after their win over Calgary.  Meanwhile, Edmonton dropped down to last place in the rankings after losing to Montreal.

Ranking	Team	Rating	Record
1	Winnipeg	1554 (▲9)	2-0, T-1st West
2	Saskatchewan	1549 (▲10)	2-0, T-1st West
3	Hamilton	1511 (▼10)	0-2, 4th East
4 (▲1)	Montreal	1507 (▲14)	1-0, T-1st East
5 (▼1)	Calgary	1494 (▼16)	0-2, T-4th West
6 (▲3)	British Columbia	1484 (▲16)	1-1, 3rd West
7 (▲1)	Ottawa	1476	1-0, T-1st East
8	Toronto	1473 (▼8)	1-1, 3rd East
9 (▼3)	Edmonton	1469 (▼14)	0-2, T-4th West

Grey Cup Predictions

Winnipeg, at 20%, and Saskatchewan, at 19%, are the most likely teams to win the Grey Cup.  The top Eastern team is Montreal with a 14% chance, followed closely by Hamilton at 13%.  We’re giving a 55% chance of a Western division team winning the league championship, versus a 45% chance of an Eastern team.

Grey Cup Ranking	Team	Rating	Win Grey Cup
1	Winnipeg	1554	20% (▲2)
2	Saskatchewan	1539	19% (▲3)
3 (▲1)	Montreal	1507	14% (▲3)
4 (▼1)	Hamilton	1511	13% (▼3)
5 (▲1)	Ottawa	1476	10%
6 (▼1)	Toronto	1473	8% (▼2)
7 (▲2)	British Columbia	1484	7% (▲2)
8 (▼1)	Calgary	1494	5% (▼4)
9 (▼1)	Edmonton	1469	4% (▼2)

Our Full Predictions

Team	Rating	Make Playoffs	Host Playoff Game	Win Division	Make Division Final	Make Grey Cup	Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg 2-0 T-1st in West	1554	90%	69%	41%	68%	37%	20%
Saskatchewan 2-0 T-1st in West	1549	89%	68%	38%	65%	34%	19%
Montreal 1-0 T-1st in East	1507	79%	61%	36%	58%	31%	14%
Hamilton 0-2 4th in East	1511	64%	44%	19%	44%	23%	13%
Ottawa 1-0 T-1st in East	1476	72%	52%	27%	48%	23%	10%
Toronto 1-1 3rd in East	1473	64%	43%	18%	40%	19%	8%
British Columbia 1-1 3rd in West	1484	66%	33%	12%	35%	14%	7%
Calgary 0-2 T-4th in West	1494	41%	17%	6%	23%	10%	5%
Edmonton 0-2 T-4th in West	1469	34%	13%	4%	18%	7%	4%

Week 3 Game Predictions

Edmonton (41%) at British Columbia (58%)
Montreal (45%) at Calgary (54%)
Winnipeg (53%) at Toronto (46%)
Ottawa (33%) at Saskatchewan (66%)