Shadows, Slides, and the Sprint to the Rings: McDonald NHL Power Rankings

Hockey playerHappy Groundhog Day, hockey fans! While Punxsutawney Phil is busy checking for his shadow, the NHL is staring down a much more imposing figure: the five-ringed shadow of the Winter Olympics. With the final games before the international break set for February 5th and the league not resuming play until February 25th, teams are desperate to head into the hiatus on a high note. Whether we get six more weeks of winter or an early spring, these rankings are heating up!

The Elite Five

Despite some turbulence this week, the heavyweights are largely holding their ground at the top of the mountain.

  • Colorado (1, 1610): Still the kings of the hill, though they took a few uncharacteristic lumps this week. Their Cup odds remain a league-high 19%.
  • Tampa Bay (2, 1589): The Bolts are surging, closing the gap on the top spot. They are virtually locks for the postseason with 99% playoff odds.
  • Dallas (3, 1564): A steady, professional week keeps the Stars in the bronze position. Their consistency is reflected in a >99% playoff probability.
  • Carolina (4, 1551): The Canes are playing lockdown hockey, maintaining their spot as the Metropolitan’s gold standard with 7% Cup odds.
  • Buffalo (4, +1, 1551): The Sabres have officially crashed the party! By jumping into a tie for fourth, Buffalo now sees their playoff chances sitting at a strong 85%.

Biggest Risers

If these teams saw their shadows today, they certainly didn’t hide. It’s been a blistering week for a few unexpected squads.

  • Columbus (12, +8, 1510): The Blue Jackets are the story of the week! A massive 8-spot jump has completely revitalized their season, moving their playoff odds to 41%.
  • Seattle (15, +7, 1503): The Kraken are finding their sea legs at exactly the right time, climbing seven spots with a 67% chance to play in the spring.
  • Montreal (8, +5, 1530): The Habs are making a legitimate push, leaping into the Top 10 with an impressive 85% chance to make the dance.
  • Ottawa (11, +5, 1513): The Senators are refusing to go quietly, putting together a string of wins that keeps their slim hopes alive.

Biggest Fallers

For every riser, someone has to slide down the icy slope. These teams are looking for answers before the Olympic break.

  • Florida (19, -9, 1497): A disastrous week for the Panthers, who tumbled nine spots. Their playoff odds cratered by 31 points, landing at just 18%.
  • Toronto (22, -8, 1489): It’s getting late early in Toronto. An 8-spot drop has the Leafs facing a steep climb with only 10% playoff odds remaining.
  • Detroit (10, -4, 1517): A tough stretch saw the Wings slip out of the top tier, though they remain in a solid playoff position at 78%.
  • Vegas (12, -4, 1510): The Golden Knights are feeling the heat, as their lead in the Pacific is suddenly under siege.

Division Dogfights

Atlantic: Tampa’s Kingdom

Tampa Bay has effectively seized control here, with their division win odds jumping to 77%. While Montreal and Buffalo are surging, Detroit is sliding in the opposite direction, making the race for the remaining guaranteed spots a total free-for-all.

Central: Colorado’s Castle

Colorado holds a massive 93% chance to win the division, but don’t tell Dallas or Minnesota. The Wild have climbed to the 7th overall rank, ensuring that while the Avalanche might lead, they certainly can’t rest.

Metropolitan: Canes and Chaos

Carolina remains the favorite at 68%, but the real news is the charge from Pittsburgh (24% win odds) and the rapid ascent of Columbus. Even the Islanders are hanging tough in 3rd, making this the most defensive-minded dogfight in the league.

Pacific: The Wild West

This is easily the most volatile division. Vegas saw their win odds plummet by 20% this week, leaving the door wide open for Edmonton (25% win odds), Seattle (15%), and a surging Los Angeles Kings squad (16%).

Here’s the rankings and ratings. Changes shown are from last week’s report.

The top 5

1. Colorado Avalanche (1610, 11)

Record: 36-8-9, 1st in Central Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: >99%
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 81% (10)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 19% (3)

Last week: 1-2-0

  • January 28: Lost 5-2 @ Ottawa Senators (11th, 1513)
  • January 29: Lost 7-3 @ Montreal Canadiens (8th, 1530)
  • January 31: Won 5-0 @ Detroit Red Wings (10th, 1517)

Next week:

  • February 2: vs. Detroit Red Wings (10th, 1517)
  • February 4: vs. San Jose Sharks (27th, 1463)

2. Tampa Bay Lightning (1589, 8)

Record: 35-14-4, 1st in Atlantic Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: 99% (1)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 11% (6)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 13% (2)

Last week: 3-0-0

  • January 26: Won 2-0 vs. Utah Mammoth (18th, 1499)
  • January 29: Won 4-1 vs. Winnipeg Jets (21st, 1491)
  • February 1: Won in SO 6-5 vs. Boston Bruins (9th, 1525)

Next week:

  • February 3: vs. Buffalo Sabres (4th, 1551)
  • February 5: vs. Florida Panthers (19th, 1497)

3. Dallas Stars (1564, 14)

Record: 32-14-9, 3rd in Central Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: >99% (1)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 3% (2)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 8% (1)

Last week: 3-0-0

  • January 27: Won 4-3 @ St. Louis Blues (26th, 1469)
  • January 29: Won in SO 5-4 @ Vegas Golden Knights (12th, 1510)
  • January 31: Won 3-2 @ Utah Mammoth (18th, 1499)

Next week:

  • February 2: vs. Winnipeg Jets (21st, 1491)
  • February 4: vs. St. Louis Blues (26th, 1469)

4 (tie). Buffalo Sabres 1 (1551, 5)

Record: 31-18-5, 5th in Atlantic Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: 85% (6)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: <1%
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 6% (1)

Last week: 2-1-0

  • January 27: Won 7-4 @ Toronto Maple Leafs (22nd, 1489)
  • January 29: Won 4-1 vs. Los Angeles Kings (16th, 1501)
  • January 31: Lost 4-2 vs. Montreal Canadiens (8th, 1530)

Next week:

  • February 2: @ Florida Panthers (19th, 1497)
  • February 3: @ Tampa Bay Lightning (2nd, 1589)
  • February 5: vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (6th, 1542)

4 (tie). Carolina Hurricanes (1551, 4)

Record: 34-15-6, 1st in Metropolitan Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: 98% (2)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 2% (1)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 7%

Last week: 2-0-1

  • January 29: Won 5-4 vs. Utah Mammoth (18th, 1499)
  • January 31: Lost in OT 4-3 @ Washington Capitals (20th, 1493)
  • February 1: Won in OT 3-2 vs. Los Angeles Kings (16th, 1501)

Next week:

  • February 3: vs. Ottawa Senators (11th, 1513)
  • February 5: @ New York Rangers (31st, 1423)

Overall Ratings

 1       Colorado Avalanche            1610 (11)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           1589 (8)
 3       Dallas Stars                  1564 (14)
 4 (tie) Buffalo Sabres (1)           1551 (5)
 4 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           1551 (4)
 6       Pittsburgh Penguins (1)      1542 (10)
 7       Minnesota Wild (2)           1536 (12)
 8       Montreal Canadiens (5)       1530 (17)
 9       Boston Bruins (2)            1525 (5)
10       Detroit Red Wings (4)        1517 (18)
11       Ottawa Senators (5)          1513 (15)
12 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (8)    1510 (22)
12 (tie) Edmonton Oilers               1510 (4)
12 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (4)     1510 (16)
15       Seattle Kraken (7)           1503 (23)
16       Los Angeles Kings (3)        1501 (5)
17       New York Islanders (3)       1500 (12)
18       Utah Mammoth (4)             1499 (9)
19       Florida Panthers (9)         1497 (26)
20       Washington Capitals (4)      1493 (5)
21       Winnipeg Jets (2)            1491 (12)
22       Toronto Maple Leafs (7)      1489 (15)
23       Nashville Predators (3)      1482 (12)
24       Philadelphia Flyers (6)      1475 (22)
25       Calgary Flames                1473 (1)
26       St. Louis Blues (2)          1469 (7)
27       San Jose Sharks (2)          1463 (2)
28       Anaheim Ducks                 1462 (6)
29       New Jersey Devils (2)        1454 (15)
30       Chicago Blackhawks            1435 (10)
31       New York Rangers              1423 (16)
32       Vancouver Canucks             1401 (2)

Chances of Winning Division

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           68%
 2       Pittsburgh Penguins           24% (3)
 3       New York Islanders            5%
 4       Columbus Blue Jackets (1)    2% (1)
 5 (tie) New York Rangers (3)         <1%
 5 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1% (1)
 5 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (1)      <1% (3)
 5 (tie) Washington Capitals           <1% (1)

Atlantic Division

 1       Tampa Bay Lightning           77% (13)
 2       Buffalo Sabres (1)           9% (1)
 3       Montreal Canadiens (1)       7% (3)
 4       Detroit Red Wings (2)        4% (13)
 5       Boston Bruins                 3%
 6 (tie) Florida Panthers              <1% (2)
 6 (tie) Ottawa Senators (1)          <1%
 6 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (1)      <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            93% (5)
 2       Dallas Stars                  5% (3)
 3       Minnesota Wild                2% (1)
 4 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%
 4 (tie) Nashville Predators           <1%
 4 (tie) St. Louis Blues               <1%
 4 (tie) Utah Mammoth                  <1%
 4 (tie) Winnipeg Jets                 <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Vegas Golden Knights          29% (21)
 2       Edmonton Oilers               25% (5)
 3       Los Angeles Kings (1)        16% (7)
 4       Seattle Kraken (2)           15% (11)
 5       Anaheim Ducks (2)            8% (3)
 6       San Jose Sharks (1)          7% (1)
 7 (tie) Calgary Flames                <1%
 7 (tie) Vancouver Canucks             <1%

Making the Playoffs

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           98% (2)
 2       Pittsburgh Penguins           88% (8)
 3       New York Islanders            58% (12)
 4       Columbus Blue Jackets (2)    41% (19)
 5       Washington Capitals           24% (1)
 6       Philadelphia Flyers (2)      14% (28)
 7       New Jersey Devils             10% (10)
 8       New York Rangers              <1% (1)

Atlantic Division

 1       Tampa Bay Lightning           99% (1)
 2 (tie) Buffalo Sabres (1)           85% (6)
 2 (tie) Montreal Canadiens (2)       85% (22)
 4       Detroit Red Wings (2)        78% (11)
 5       Boston Bruins                 70% (12)
 6       Ottawa Senators (2)          21% (10)
 7       Florida Panthers (1)         18% (31)
 8       Toronto Maple Leafs (1)      10% (12)

Central Division

 1 (tie) Colorado Avalanche            >99%
 1 (tie) Dallas Stars (1)             >99% (1)
 3       Minnesota Wild                99% (2)
 4       Utah Mammoth                  62% (14)
 5       Nashville Predators           30% (6)
 6       Winnipeg Jets                 10% (3)
 7 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            2% (4)
 7 (tie) St. Louis Blues (1)          2% (3)

Pacific Division

 1       Vegas Golden Knights          81% (11)
 2       Edmonton Oilers               78% (2)
 3 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (1)        67% (9)
 3 (tie) Seattle Kraken (3)           67% (26)
 5       Anaheim Ducks (2)            52% (12)
 6       San Jose Sharks (1)          46% (3)
 7       Calgary Flames                5% (1)
 8       Vancouver Canucks             <1%

Winning the President’s Trophy

 1       Colorado Avalanche            81% (10)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           11% (6)
 3       Dallas Stars                  3% (2)
 4       Carolina Hurricanes (1)      2% (1)
 5       Minnesota Wild (1)           1% (1)

Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.

Winning the Stanley Cup

 1       Colorado Avalanche            19% (3)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           13% (2)
 3       Dallas Stars                  8% (1)
 4       Carolina Hurricanes (1)      7%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                6% (1)
 5 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins           6% (1)
 7       Minnesota Wild (2)           5% (1)
 8       Montreal Canadiens (2)       4% (1)
 9 (tie) Boston Bruins (1)            3%
 9 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (4)        3% (2)
 9 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (1)          3%
 9 (tie) Seattle Kraken (9)           3% (2)
 9 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (4)     3% (2)
14 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (4)    2% (1)
14 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (1)        2%
14 (tie) New York Islanders (1)       2%
14 (tie) Utah Mammoth (4)             2% (1)
18 (tie) Anaheim Ducks                 1%
18 (tie) Florida Panthers (8)         1% (2)
18 (tie) Nashville Predators           1%
18 (tie) Ottawa Senators               1%
18 (tie) San Jose Sharks               1%
18 (tie) Washington Capitals           1%
24 (tie) Calgary Flames (3)           <1%
24 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (3)       <1%
24 (tie) New York Rangers (3)         <1%
24 (tie) New Jersey Devils (6)        <1% (1)
24 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (9)      <1% (2)
24 (tie) St. Louis Blues (3)          <1%
24 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (6)      <1% (1)
24 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (3)        <1%
24 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (3)            <1%

 

ARCTIC ASSAULT: COLORADO REIGNS SUPREME WHILE THE PENS SCORCH THE DEEP FREEZE!

Hockey playerListen up, puck-heads! While the rest of North America was busy digging their cars out of record-breaking snowdrifts and shivering in a Polar Vortex that saw wind chills hit -30, the NHL was heating up to a boiling point! We’re talking about a weekend where over 185 million people were under winter alerts, yet these gladiators on ice were out there delivering absolute carnage!

​If you thought the ice storm in Georgia was intense, you haven’t seen the shift in these rankings. We’ve got teams rising from the depths and others sliding faster than an 18-wheeler on an icy Trans-Canada. Grab your coffee, turn up the heat, and let’s dive into the carnage!

THE ELITE ELITE: THE TOP 5

​The air is thin at the top, and for these teams, the “extreme cold” is just their natural habitat.

  • Colorado (1, 1621): The Avalanche are a force of nature. Even with a slight rating dip, they hold a 99% chance of making the dance and a staggering 22% chance to hoist the Cup. They are the gold standard.
  • Tampa Bay (2, 1581): The Bolts are as steady as a block of permafrost. They’ve locked down a 98% playoff probability and show no signs of cracking under the pressure.
  • Dallas (3, 1550): Deep in the heart of Texas, where the power grids were struggling, the Stars kept the lights on. They remain a lock at 99% playoff odds.
  • Carolina (4, 1547): The Canes are a nightmare for the rest of the Metro. They’re sitting pretty with a 96% chance to play spring hockey.
  • Buffalo (5, +4, 1546): BOOM! The Sabres just kicked the door down! A massive four-spot jump into the top five. Buffalo is officially dangerous, seeing their playoff odds skyrocket by 19% this week alone!

​THE BIGGEST RISERS: CLIMBING THE GLACIER

​While everyone else was hibernating, these squads were out there hunting!

  • Pittsburgh (7, +7, 1532): Absolute FIRE! The Penguins are the biggest story of the week, jumping seven spots! Sid and the boys are defying the aging process, boosting their playoff hopes by 19% in a single week.
  • Philadelphia (18, +4, 1497): Don’t count out the Broad Street Bullies! They fought through the freeze to gain 12 rating points and climb four spots.
  • Seattle (22, +4, 1480): The Kraken are emerging from the deep! A four-spot climb keeps their postseason dreams alive at 41%.

THE BIGGEST FALLERS: SLIPPING ON BLACK ICE

​Some teams forgot to put the winter tires on, and it shows. The carnage is real.

  • Edmonton (12, -7, 1514): TOTAL COLLAPSE! The Oilers hit a patch of black ice and spun out, dropping seven spots and losing 20 rating points. Their Cup odds took a 2% hit, and fans are screaming for answers!
  • NY Islanders (20, -5, 1488): A disaster on Long Island. They plummeted five spots and saw their playoff odds crater by 24%. That’s not just a slump; that’s a freefall!
  • Calgary (25, -5, 1472): The Flames are getting extinguished. A five-spot drop has them sitting at a measly 6% chance to make the playoffs.

DIVISION DOGFIGHTS: THE WAR FOR THE CROWN

​The divisional boundaries are turning into trenches. Here is how the landscape shifted after a weekend of blizzard-fueled hockey:

Atlantic Division

​It’s a three-headed monster! Tampa Bay (2, 1581) holds the best win odds at 64%, but Detroit (6, +2, 1535) is the current divisional leader in the odds race at 17% (up 6%). Meanwhile, Buffalo (5, +4, 1546) is the dark horse charging from behind. Toronto (15, -4, 1504) is in serious trouble, with their playoff odds tanking by 23%!

Central Division

Colorado (1, 1621) has a literal vice grip on this division with 98% win odds. Minnesota (9, -3, 1524) and Dallas (3, 1550) are just fighting for the scraps at this point. The rest of the division—Chicago, St. Louis, Winnipeg—are effectively frozen out of the title race with <1% win odds.

Metropolitan Division

Carolina (4, 1547) is the king of the hill with 68% win odds, but look out for Pittsburgh (7, +7, 1532)! The Pens saw their division win odds jump by 10% this week to a respectable 21%. The Islanders are the biggest losers here, seeing their division hopes nearly vanish.

Pacific Division

Vegas (8, -2, 1526) still leads the pack with 50% win odds, but they’re bleeding. Edmonton (12, -7, 1514) dropped a massive 10% in their division win probability. Keep an eye on Anaheim (28, +1, 1468)—their odds to win the Pacific jumped by 8%, the biggest shift in the division!

Here’s the rankings and ratings. Changes shown are from last week’s report.

The top 5

1. Colorado Avalanche (1621, 5)

Record: 35-6-9, 1st in Central Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: >99%
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 91% (1)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 22%

Last week: 2-1-1

  • January 19: Won 5-2 vs. Washington Capitals (16th, 1498)
  • January 21: Lost in SO 2-1 vs. Anaheim Ducks (28th, 1468)
  • January 23: Lost 7-3 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (18th, 1497)
  • January 25: Won 4-1 @ Toronto Maple Leafs (15th, 1504)

Next week:

  • January 28: @ Ottawa Senators (16th, 1498)
  • January 29: @ Montreal Canadiens (13th, 1513)
  • January 31: @ Detroit Red Wings (6th, 1535)

2. Tampa Bay Lightning (1581, 7)

Record: 32-14-4, 2nd in Atlantic Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: 98%
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 5% (1)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 11% (1)

Last week: 2-1-0

  • January 20: Won 4-1 vs. San Jose Sharks (29th, 1461)
  • January 23: Won in SO 2-1 @ Chicago Blackhawks (30th, 1445)
  • January 24: Lost 8-5 @ Columbus Blue Jackets (20th, 1488)

Next week:

  • January 26: vs. Utah Mammoth (14th, 1508)
  • January 29: vs. Winnipeg Jets (23rd, 1479)
  • February 1: vs. Boston Bruins (11th, 1520)

3. Dallas Stars (1550, 3)

Record: 29-14-9, 3rd in Central Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: 99% (1)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 1%
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 7% (1)

Last week: 2-1-0

  • January 20: Won 6-2 vs. Boston Bruins (11th, 1520)
  • January 22: Lost 1-0 @ Columbus Blue Jackets (20th, 1488)
  • January 23: Won 3-2 vs. St. Louis Blues (24th, 1476)

Next week:

  • January 27: @ St. Louis Blues (24th, 1476)
  • January 29: @ Vegas Golden Knights (8th, 1526)
  • January 31: @ Utah Mammoth (14th, 1508)

4. Carolina Hurricanes 1 (1547, 12)

Record: 32-15-5, 1st in Metropolitan Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: 96% (2)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 1%
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 7% (1)

Last week: 2-0-1

  • January 19: Won 2-1 vs. Buffalo Sabres (5th, 1546)
  • January 22: Lost in SO 4-3 vs. Chicago Blackhawks (30th, 1445)
  • January 24: Won 4-1 @ Ottawa Senators (16th, 1498)

Next week:

  • January 29: vs. Utah Mammoth (14th, 1508)
  • January 31: @ Washington Capitals (16th, 1498)
  • February 1: vs. Los Angeles Kings (19th, 1496)

5. Buffalo Sabres 2 (1546, 15)

Record: 29-17-5, 3rd in Atlantic Division

Chances of:

  • Making the playoffs: 79% (14)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: <1%
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 5% (1)

Last week: 3-1-0

  • January 19: Lost 2-1 @ Carolina Hurricanes (4th, 1547)
  • January 20: Won 5-3 @ Nashville Predators (26th, 1470)
  • January 22: Won 4-2 @ Montreal Canadiens (13th, 1513)
  • January 24: Won 5-0 @ New York Islanders (20th, 1488)

Next week:

  • January 27: @ Toronto Maple Leafs (15th, 1504)
  • January 29: vs. Los Angeles Kings (19th, 1496)
  • January 31: vs. Montreal Canadiens (13th, 1513)

Overall Ratings

 1       Colorado Avalanche            1621 (5)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           1581 (7)
 3       Dallas Stars                  1550 (3)
 4       Carolina Hurricanes (1)      1547 (12)
 5       Buffalo Sabres (2)           1546 (15)
 6       Detroit Red Wings (3)        1535 (10)
 7       Pittsburgh Penguins (8)      1532 (31)
 8       Vegas Golden Knights (4)     1526 (17)
 9       Minnesota Wild                1524 (1)
10       Florida Panthers (1)         1523 (2)
11       Boston Bruins (2)            1520 (8)
12       Edmonton Oilers (6)          1514 (20)
13       Montreal Canadiens (1)       1513 (8)
14       Utah Mammoth (1)             1508 (7)
15       Toronto Maple Leafs (7)      1504 (23)
16 (tie) Ottawa Senators (1)          1498 (2)
16 (tie) Washington Capitals (2)      1498 (4)
18       Philadelphia Flyers (8)      1497 (22)
19       Los Angeles Kings             1496 (6)
20 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (4)    1488 (9)
20 (tie) New York Islanders (2)       1488 (7)
22       Seattle Kraken (1)           1480 (3)
23       Winnipeg Jets (1)            1479 (8)
24       St. Louis Blues (3)          1476 (12)
25       Calgary Flames (6)           1472 (18)
26       Nashville Predators (1)      1470 (8)
27       New Jersey Devils             1469 (11)
28       Anaheim Ducks (2)            1468 (21)
29       San Jose Sharks               1461 (12)
30       Chicago Blackhawks (1)       1445 (6)
31       New York Rangers (4)         1439 (19)
32       Vancouver Canucks             1399 (11)

Chances of Winning Division

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           68% (2)
 2       Pittsburgh Penguins (1)      21% (11)
 3       New York Islanders (1)       5% (9)
 4       Philadelphia Flyers (1)      3%
 5 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (1)    1% (1)
 5 (tie) New Jersey Devils (2)        1%
 5 (tie) Washington Capitals (1)      1% (3)
 8       New York Rangers              <1%

Atlantic Division

 1       Tampa Bay Lightning           64% (4)
 2       Detroit Red Wings             17% (7)
 3       Buffalo Sabres (1)           10% (4)
 4       Montreal Canadiens (1)       4% (4)
 5       Boston Bruins                 3%
 6       Florida Panthers (1)         2%
 7 (tie) Ottawa Senators (1)          <1%
 7 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (2)      <1% (3)

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            98%
 2       Dallas Stars                  2% (1)
 3       Minnesota Wild (1)           1%
 4 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%
 4 (tie) Nashville Predators           <1%
 4 (tie) St. Louis Blues               <1%
 4 (tie) Utah Mammoth                  <1%
 4 (tie) Winnipeg Jets                 <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Vegas Golden Knights          50% (13)
 2       Edmonton Oilers               20% (5)
 3       Anaheim Ducks (3)            11% (10)
 4       Los Angeles Kings             9% (6)
 5       San Jose Sharks               6% (4)
 6       Seattle Kraken (3)           4%
 7 (tie) Calgary Flames (1)           <1% (1)
 7 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (1)        <1%

Making the Playoffs

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           96% (2)
 2       Pittsburgh Penguins (1)      80% (26)
 3       New York Islanders (1)       46% (18)
 4       Philadelphia Flyers (1)      42% (14)
 5       Washington Capitals (1)      23% (15)
 6       Columbus Blue Jackets         22% (1)
 7       New Jersey Devils             20% (5)
 8       New York Rangers              1% (6)

Atlantic Division

 1       Tampa Bay Lightning           98%
 2       Detroit Red Wings             89% (9)
 3       Buffalo Sabres (1)           79% (14)
 4       Montreal Canadiens (1)       63% (11)
 5       Boston Bruins                 58% (6)
 6       Florida Panthers (1)         49% (6)
 7       Toronto Maple Leafs (2)      22% (30)
 8       Ottawa Senators               11% (4)

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            >99%
 2       Dallas Stars                  99% (1)
 3       Minnesota Wild                97% (1)
 4       Utah Mammoth                  76% (11)
 5       Nashville Predators           24% (13)
 6       Winnipeg Jets                 7% (8)
 7       Chicago Blackhawks (1)       6% (1)
 8       St. Louis Blues (1)          5% (9)

Pacific Division

 1       Vegas Golden Knights          92% (5)
 2       Edmonton Oilers               76% (12)
 3       Anaheim Ducks (3)            64% (33)
 4       Los Angeles Kings             58% (12)
 5       San Jose Sharks               49% (10)
 6       Seattle Kraken (3)           41% (8)
 7       Calgary Flames                6% (15)
 8       Vancouver Canucks             <1%

Winning the President’s Trophy

 1       Colorado Avalanche            91% (1)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           5% (1)
 3 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           1%
 3 (tie) Dallas Stars                  1%
 3 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (3)        1% (1)

Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.

Winning the Stanley Cup

 1       Colorado Avalanche            22%
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           11% (1)
 3 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           7% (1)
 3 (tie) Dallas Stars                  7% (1)
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres (2)           5% (1)
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (2)        5% (1)
 5 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (8)      5% (3)
 5 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (2)     5% (1)
 9       Minnesota Wild (2)           4%
10 (tie) Boston Bruins (3)            3% (1)
10 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (4)          3% (2)
10 (tie) Florida Panthers (1)         3%
10 (tie) Montreal Canadiens (3)       3% (1)
10 (tie) Utah Mammoth (3)             3% (1)
15 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (2)        2%
15 (tie) New York Islanders (2)       2%
15 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (4)      2% (1)
18 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (10)           1% (1)
18 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (1)    1%
18 (tie) Nashville Predators (1)      1%
18 (tie) New Jersey Devils (10)       1% (1)
18 (tie) Ottawa Senators (1)          1%
18 (tie) San Jose Sharks (1)          1%
18 (tie) Seattle Kraken (1)           1%
18 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (7)      1% (2)
18 (tie) Washington Capitals (5)      1% (1)
27 (tie) Calgary Flames (8)           <1% (1)
27 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (1)       <1%
27 (tie) New York Rangers (1)         <1%
27 (tie) St. Louis Blues (8)          <1% (1)
27 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (1)        <1%
27 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (8)            <1% (1)

 

McDonald NHL Power Ratings – Playoff Report, July 1, 2021

Hockey playerMontreal came out strong in last night’s game, looking like a much better team than in Game 1, but still lost to Tampa Bay 3-1.  Montreal outshot Tampa Bay 43-23, but haven’t been able to solve the puzzle of Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy.  The first period ended scoreless, and Tampa Bay opened the scoring 6 minutes into the second period.  Montreal tied it up at the halfway mark of the period, but Tampa Bay again took the lead with 0.3 seconds left in the period!  Tampa Bay scored an insurance goal after Montreal’s bad giveaway behind their own net with 4:18 left, and that was all the scoring.  Tampa Bay now leads the series 2-0, with Montreal unable to score more than 1 goal in either game so far.  With the win, we’re now giving Tampa Bay an 87.0% chance of winning the Stanley Cup.

The teams now head to Montreal for Game 3 on Friday.

Yesterday’s Game

Stanley Cup Final

Montreal 1 at Tampa Bay 3

  • Tampa Bay leads series 2-0
  • Tampa Bay now has an 87.0% chance of winning the Stanley Cup, up from 75.5%

Series schedule:

  • Monday, June 28: Montreal 1 at Tampa Bay 5
  • Wednesday, June 30: Montreal 1 at Tampa Bay 3
  • Friday, July 2: Tampa Bay at Montreal
  • Monday, July 5: Tampa Bay at Montreal
  • Wednesday, July 7: Montreal at Tampa Bay (if necessary)
  • Friday, July 9: Tampa Bay at Montreal (if necessary)
  • Sunday, July 11: Montreal at Tampa Bay (if necessary)

New simulation results:

  • Tampa Bay has a 87.0% chance of winning (11.5)
    • In 4 games: 29.2% (10.9)
    • In 5 games: 30.5% (5.2)
    • In 6 games: 15.5% (1.3)
    • In 7 games: 11.7% (3.4)
  • Montreal has a 13.0% chance of winning (11.5)
    • In 7 games: 8.1% (2.1)
    • In 6 games: 5.0% (4.9)
    • In 5 games: 0.0% (4.4)
    • In 4 games: 0.0%

Friday’s Game

Stanley Cup Final

Tampa Bay at Montreal

  • Tampa Bay leads series 2-0
  • Tampa Bay has an 87.0% chance of winning the Stanley Cup

Playoff Matchup – Stanley Cup Finals

Tampa Bay (3rd in Central, 75 pts) vs. Montreal (4th in North, 59 pts)

Tampa Bay leads series 2-0

Chances of winning: Tampa Bay 87%, Montreal 13%

McDonald NHL Power Ratings:

  • Tampa Bay: 1581
  • Montreal: 1544

Playoffs so far:

  • Tampa Bay:
    • First round: Defeated Florida in 6 games
    • Division final: Defeated Carolina in 5 games
    • Semi-Final: Defeated New York Islanders in 7 games
  • Montreal:
    • First round: Defeated Toronto in 7 games
    • Division final: Defeated Winnipeg in 4 games
    • Semi-Final: Defeated Vegas in 6 games

Series schedule:

  • Monday, June 28: Montreal 1 at Tampa Bay 5
  • Wednesday, June 30: Montreal 1 at Tampa Bay 3
  • Friday, July 2: Tampa Bay at Montreal
  • Monday, July 5: Tampa Bay at Montreal
  • Wednesday, July 7: Montreal at Tampa Bay (if necessary)
  • Friday, July 9: Tampa Bay at Montreal (if necessary)
  • Sunday, July 11: Montreal at Tampa Bay (if necessary)

Simulation results:

  • Tampa Bay has a 87.0% chance of winning
    • In 4 games: 29.2%
    • In 5 games: 30.5%
    • In 6 games: 15.5%
    • In 7 games: 11.7%
  • Montreal has a 13.0% chance of winning
    • In 7 games: 8.1%
    • In 6 games: 5.0%
    • In 5 games: 0.0%
    • In 4 games: 0.0%

Installing Google Fonts on Windows 10

A quick how-to guide on how to install Google Fonts into Windows 10.

Google Fonts is a collection of fonts intended for use on the Web.  From the Google Fonts About page:

Google Fonts makes it quick and easy for everyone to use web fonts, including professional designers and developers. We believe that everyone should be able to bring quality typography to their web pages and applications.

Our goal is to create a directory of web fonts for the world to use. Our API service makes it easy to add Google Fonts to a website in seconds. The service runs on Google’s servers which are fast, reliable and tested. Google provides this service free of charge.

I was trying to make a graphic that used Ultra, one of the fonts, and I wanted to use Inkspace to make it.  But, Google Fonts are web fonts, and I wanted to have Ultra as a font installed on my computer so I could use it.  It turns out that it’s not that hard to do.  I’ll show the steps for installing Open Sans.

First, go to the Google Fonts homepage.  In the upper left corner is a search box:

The Google Fonts search box
The Google Fonts search box

Type in the name of the font you’re looking for, in this case, Open Sans.  The Google Fonts website will filter down all of the fonts it knows about, and only show the ones matching what you’ve typed in.  For me, it showed me two fonts: Open Sans and Open Sans condensed.

GoogleFonts2

With each of the fonts displayed, there’s a blue “Add to Collection” button.  Click that button, and that font will be added to a collection of fonts, displayed at the bottom of the page.

GoogleFonts3

Next, we’re going to want to download a Zip file that contains a TTF file (short for True Type font, one of the types of fonts that Windows understands) of the font we’ve selected.  If we add more than one font to our collection, all the fonts will be in the Zip file.  Anyways, there’s a download button on the page, but it’s not real obvious.  It’s in the upper right corner of the page, and looks like a down arrow:

GoogleFonts4

Click that, and you’ll get a dialog box telling you that you don’t need to download the font.  If you’re just using it for the web, that’s right, but we want to install the font into Windows 10.

GoogleFonts5

We want to choose the first option, “Download the font families in your Collection as a .zip file”.  Click on the .zip file link, and your browser will download a zip file to your computer — in my case, it was called Open_Sans.zip.  Go to wherever that file was downloaded (likely your Downloads folder), right-click on the file, and select “Extract All…”.  You’ll be asked where to extract the files to, and it will default to the current directory.  Click the Extract button, and a new folder will be created containing a LICENSE.txt file and one or more TTF files.

The next thing to do is to install the TTF file (or files) into Windows 10.  Open up the Control Panel (type Control Panel into the Windows search box if you’re not sure how to open it), and you’ll get this window:

GoogleFonts6

Click on the Appearance and Personalization heading to get:

GoogleFonts7

Under Fonts, click on “Preview, delete, or show and hide fonts”.  You’ll be taken to a window showing all the fonts installed on your system:

GoogleFonts8

Finally, from that folder of downloaded fonts, drag the fonts you want to install into this new window, and the fonts should now be installed!

What font is used for the 7 symbol on a slot machine?

Short answer: Clarendon Bold.

For fun, I’m writing a little slot machine game in Java.  I wanted to create some symbols to go on the reels, and one of those symbols is the number 7.  And, I wanted it to look like the fancy 7 you see on slot machines, like this:

Slot machine with 7 symbol
Spin baby” by Hyun Lee is licensed under CC BY 2.0

So, after some googling around, I discovered that it uses the Clarendon Bold font.  Here’s what the 7 looks like in Linotype’s Clarendon Std Bold:

The letter 7 in Monotype's Clarendon Bold BT font.
The letter 7 in Linotype’s Clarendon Std Bold font

This is a screenshot grabbed from the preview feature of fonts.com’s page for Clarendon Std Bold.

Unfortunately, I don’t have that font on my computer.  After further googling, I discovered the Ultra font on Google Fonts.  The Google Fonts page describes it as follows:

Ultra is an ultra bold slab typeface with nods to wood type styles like Clarendon and Egyptian. Strong and dramatic letterforms for titling, a serious, yet friendly, and easily legible typestyle. Perfect for power headlines and titling for impact.

Here’s what the 7 looks like in Ultra:

The symbol 7 in Ultra font
The letter 7 in Ultra font

To make my slot machine 7, I installed Ultra on Windows, fired up Inkscape, added a Text object with the Ultra font at 72 points, set a fill colour of Red, added a black stroke 1 point thick, and here’s the final result:

A "7" slot machine symbol
My final “7” slot machine symbol

I’m pleased with it!

 

Blogging 101: Who I Am and Why I’m Here

siteiconIt’s been a long time since I’ve added anything to my blog — almost three years, now that I look back at my last post.  I’ve been meaning to add more entries to my blog, but I just haven’t gotten around to it.  I think the main problem is because I really don’t know what the focus of my blog is, or what I want to blog about.  So, to help me get over this hurdle, I decided to sign up for WordPress’ Blogging 101 course.

The first assignment in this course is to “Introduce Yourself to the World”.  The intention is to blog about who we are and why we’re here.  Maybe if I do this, it will help me to gain a little clarity on why I’m keeping a blog.

Well, here goes…

My name is Shane McDonald.  I live in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada.  I work as an instructor at Saskatchewan Polytechnic, in the Computer Systems Technology program.  I mostly teach computer programming courses, with a smattering of Word / Excel / PowerPoint / etc. introductory classes thrown in the mix.  Tomorrow is the first day of a new semester; I’ll be teaching a class in Java, and a class in C.

Why am I blogging?  Well, thinking back to when I started this blog, I had a number of reasons:

  • I wanted to get some experience with WordPress.
  • I wanted to practice writing, in order to help to express my thoughts more clearly.
  • I wanted a place to record solutions to computer problems that I’ve run across, and I thought other people might also run across.  I know a quick Google search often helps me to find the solution to problems, but if nobody had bothered to record their solution, it wouldn’t help me out very much.

Thinking about it now, I think that third reason is probably the reason that seems most important to me.  I know I get a good feeling when I see people accessing my posts, and I hope that others are able to solve the same problems I had, but without a lot of searching!  My top post seems to be this one about how to use numbers in formulas in Microsoft Word mail merges; my least popular posts seem to be my series of tips on using the Vi text editor, which was an outgrowth of a set of tips that I had created on a corporate Wiki at a previous employer.

My problem seems to be that I either don’t run across too many problems (yeah, I wish), or that I don’t bother to take the time to record my solutions for posterity (more likely!).

Anyways, by taking this blogging course, I’m hoping to gain a little more focus on my blog, and to get some motivation to write posts.  Who knows, I might even completely change the focus of my blog!  If nothing else, at least I’ve created this one post, and people will see that I still exist!  I’m excited to work through this course and see how things come along!!!