I haven’t caught up with my CFL power rating reports, so I’m just going to have very pruned-down reports until I’m caught up!
Friday: Montreal defeats Hamilton 23-16
Saturday: Toronto clinch playoff spot by thumping Ottawa 45-15
Saturday: Calgary gets revenge on BC for last week’s OT loss, winning 25-11
Week 16 Results
Hamilton 16 at Montreal 23
Toronto 45 at Ottawa 15
Calgary 25 at British Columbia 11
McDonald CFL Power Ratings
| Ranking | Team | Rating | Record |
| 1 | Winnipeg | 1629 | 12-2, 1st West |
| 2 | Calgary | 1560 (▲14) | 9-5, T-2nd West |
| 3 (▲1) | Toronto | 1535 (▲10) | 8-5, 1st East |
| 4 (▼1) | British Columbia | 1531 (▼14) | 9-4, T-2nd West |
| 5 (▲1) | Montreal | 1496 (▲10) | 6-7, 2nd East |
| 6 (▼1) | Saskatchewan | 1491 | 6-8, 4th West |
| 7 | Hamilton | 1458 (▼10) | 4-10, 3rd East |
| 8 | Edmonton | 1427 | 4-10, 5th West |
| 9 | Ottawa | 1401 (▼10) | 3-10, 4th East |
Grey Cup Predictions
Overall, there’s a 66% chance of a Western team winning the Grey Cup, the same as last week’s report. We’ve also determined that there’s a 71% chance of a 4th-place Western team crossing over to the East for the playoffs (up 7% from last week), versus no chance of an Eastern team crossing over to the West (down 1% from last week).
| Grey Cup Ranking | Team | Rating | Win Grey Cup |
| 1 | Winnipeg | 1629 | 40% |
| 2 | Toronto | 1535 | 23% (▲2) |
| T-3 (▲1) | Calgary | 1560 | 10% (▲1) |
| T-3 (▲1) | Montreal | 1496 | 10% (▲1) |
| 5 (▼2) | British Columbia | 1531 | 9% (▼3) |
| 6 | Saskatchewan | 1491 | 5% |
| 7 | Hamilton | 1458 | 1% (▼2) |
| T-8 | Ottawa | 1401 | <1% (▼1) |
| T-8 (▲1) | Edmonton | 1427 | <1% |
Our Full Predictions
Here’s our full predictions.
| Team | Rating | Make Playoffs | Host Playoff Game | Win Division | Make Division Final | Make Grey Cup | Win Grey Cup |
| Winnipeg 12-2, 1st in West |
1629 | ✔ | >99% | 94% | 97% | 64% | 40% |
| Toronto 8-5, 1st in East |
1535 | ✔ | >99% | 82% | 92% | 55% | 23% |
| Calgary 9-5, T-2nd in West |
1560 | ✔ | 39% | <1% | 53% | 19% | 10% |
| Montreal 6-7, 2nd in East |
1496 | 96% | 94% | 18% | 62% | 27% | 10% |
| British Columbia 9-4, T-2nd in West |
1531 | ✔ | 61% | 6% | 50% | 17% | 9% |
| Saskatchewan 6-8, 4th in West |
1491 | 69% | <1% | — | 31% | 12% | 5% |
| Hamilton 4-10, 3rd in East |
1458 | 25% | 2% | <1% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
| Ottawa 3-10, 4th in East |
1401 | 7% | 4% | <1% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Edmonton 4-10, 5th in West |
1427 | 2% | — | — | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Week 17 Game Predictions
Friday: Saskatchewan (25%) at Winnipeg (74%)
Friday: Ottawa (26%) at British Columbia (73%)
Saturday: Montreal (52%) at Edmonton (47%)
Saturday: Toronto (39%) at Calgary (60%)