McDonald NHL Power Ratings – March 13, 2022

Hockey playerI was just on a trans-atlantic cruise, and the ship I was on had no Internet, so I’ve been Internet-less for the last 16 days.  I’ve also been hockey coverage-less, as the boat’s TV channels didn’t cover hockey, although it did have lots of Australian Rules Football, soccer, and American college basketball.  Anyways, I’m back on dry land, but am quite far behind on my hockey reports.  So, I’ going to add in the weekly reports I had missed, but without my usual witty commentary.

Anyways, here goes the first missed weekly report.

The top 5

1. Colorado Avalanche (1611, 6)

Record: 42-13-5, 1st in Central Division

Chances of: 

  • Making the playoffs: >99%
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 35% (10)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 16% (1)

Last week: 2-2-0

  • March 7: Won 5-4 @ New York Islanders (20th, 1495)
  • March 8: Lost 5-3 @ New Jersey Devils (28th, 1418)
  • March 10: Lost 2-0 @ Carolina Hurricanes (2nd, 1595)
  • March 13: Won 3-0 vs. Calgary Flames (5th, 1574)

Next week:

  • March 15: @ Los Angeles Kings (13th, 1524)
  • March 18: @ San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1452)

2. Carolina Hurricanes (1595, 3)

Record: 41-13-5, 1st in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

  • Making the playoffs: >99%
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 31% (6)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 11% (1)

Last week: 2-1-0

  • March 10: Won 2-0 vs. Colorado Avalanche (1st, 1611)
  • March 12: Won 3-1 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (29th, 1415)
  • March 13: Lost 4-2 @ Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1580)

Next week:

  • March 17: @ Toronto Maple Leafs (10th, 1557)
  • March 18: vs. Washington Capitals (12th, 1528)
  • March 20: vs. New York Rangers (7th, 1567)

3. Florida Panthers 4 (1586, 17)

Record: 40-13-6, 1st in Atlantic Division

Chances of: 

  • Making the playoffs: >99%
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 25% (15)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 9% (3)

Last week: 3-0-1

  • March 7: Won 6-1 @ Buffalo Sabres (26th, 1425)
  • March 8: Won 4-3 @ Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1580)
  • March 10: Won 6-3 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (29th, 1415)
  • March 13: Lost in SO 3-2 @ Los Angeles Kings (13th, 1524)

Next week:

  • March 15: @ San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1452)
  • March 17: @ Vegas Golden Knights (18th, 1503)
  • March 18: @ Anaheim Ducks (23rd, 1447)

4. Pittsburgh Penguins (1580, 5)

Record: 36-15-9, 2nd in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

  • Making the playoffs: >99%
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 1%
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 8% (1)

Last week: 2-1-0

  • March 8: Lost 4-3 vs. Florida Panthers (3rd, 1586)
  • March 11: Won 5-2 vs. Vegas Golden Knights (18th, 1503)
  • March 13: Won 4-2 vs. Carolina Hurricanes (2nd, 1595)

Next week:

  • March 15: @ Nashville Predators (11th, 1530)
  • March 17: @ St. Louis Blues (9th, 1559)
  • March 19: @ Arizona Coyotes (27th, 1422)

5. Calgary Flames 1 (1574)

Record: 36-16-7, 1st in Pacific Division

Chances of: 

  • Making the playoffs: >99% (1)
  • Winning the President’s Trophy: 1% (1)
  • Winning the Stanley Cup: 9% (1)

Last week: 3-2-0

  • March 7: Won 3-1 vs. Edmonton Oilers (15th, 1518)
  • March 8: Lost 5-4 vs. Washington Capitals (12th, 1528)
  • March 10: Won 4-1 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (6th, 1570)
  • March 12: Won 3-0 vs. Detroit Red Wings (29th, 1415)
  • March 13: Lost 3-0 @ Colorado Avalanche (1st, 1611)

Next week:

  • March 16: vs. New Jersey Devils (28th, 1418)
  • March 18: vs. Buffalo Sabres (26th, 1425)
  • March 19: @ Vancouver Canucks (16th, 1512)

Here’s the rankings and ratings.  Changes shown are from last week’s report.

Overall Ratings

 1       Colorado Avalanche            1611 (6)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           1595 (3)
 3       Florida Panthers (4)         1586 (17)
 4       Pittsburgh Penguins           1580 (5)
 5       Calgary Flames (1)           1574
 6       Tampa Bay Lightning (3)      1570 (16)
 7       New York Rangers (3)         1567 (8)
 8       Boston Bruins (1)            1566 (7)
 9       St. Louis Blues (1)          1559 (2)
10       Toronto Maple Leafs (2)      1557 (5)
11       Nashville Predators (3)      1530 (13)
12       Washington Capitals (4)      1528 (12)
13       Los Angeles Kings (2)        1524 (11)
14       Minnesota Wild (1)           1521 (4)
15       Edmonton Oilers (1)          1518 (2)
16       Vancouver Canucks             1512 (4)
17       Winnipeg Jets (2)            1506 (11)
18 (tie) Dallas Stars (4)             1503 (14)
18 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (7)     1503 (32)
20       New York Islanders            1495 (13)
21       Columbus Blue Jackets         1470 (3)
22       San Jose Sharks (1)          1452 (12)
23       Anaheim Ducks (1)            1447 (18)
24       Chicago Blackhawks (1)       1439 (13)
25       Ottawa Senators (1)          1436
26       Buffalo Sabres (4)           1425 (14)
27       Arizona Coyotes (2)          1422 (9)
28       New Jersey Devils (1)        1418 (4)
29 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (4)        1415 (11)
29 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (2)      1415 (1)
31       Montreal Canadiens            1398 (4)
32       Seattle Kraken                1397

Chances of Winning Division

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           83% (9)
 2       New York Rangers              9% (8)
 3       Pittsburgh Penguins           8%
 4 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets         <1%
 4 (tie) New York Islanders            <1%
 4 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 4 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%
 4 (tie) Washington Capitals           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1       Florida Panthers (1)         72% (32)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning (1)      18% (28)
 3       Toronto Maple Leafs           7% (4)
 4       Boston Bruins                 3%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            97%
 2       St. Louis Blues               2%
 3 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (1)          <1%
 3 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (1)       <1%
 3 (tie) Dallas Stars (1)             <1%
 3 (tie) Minnesota Wild                <1% (1)
 3 (tie) Nashville Predators (1)      <1%
 3 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (1)            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                91% (7)
 2       Los Angeles Kings             7% (2)
 3       Edmonton Oilers (1)          2%
 4 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (1)            <1%
 4 (tie) San Jose Sharks (1)          <1%
 4 (tie) Seattle Kraken (1)           <1%
 4 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (1)        <1%
 4 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (1)     <1% (5)

Making the Playoffs

Metropolitan Division

 1 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           >99%
 1 (tie) New York Rangers              >99%
 1 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins           >99%
 4       Washington Capitals           94% (7)
 5       Columbus Blue Jackets         4% (6)
 6       New York Islanders            3%
 7 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 7 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1 (tie) Boston Bruins (3)            >99% (1)
 1 (tie) Florida Panthers              >99%
 1 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning           >99%
 1 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs           >99%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            >99%
 2       St. Louis Blues               98% (2)
 3       Nashville Predators (2)      90% (16)
 4       Minnesota Wild (1)           89% (4)
 5       Dallas Stars (1)             70% (10)
 6       Winnipeg Jets                 16% (8)
 7 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
 7 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                >99% (1)
 2       Los Angeles Kings             90% (5)
 3       Edmonton Oilers (1)          67% (17)
 4       Vegas Golden Knights (1)     41% (37)
 5       Vancouver Canucks             33% (1)
 6       San Jose Sharks (1)          4% (3)
 7       Anaheim Ducks (1)            2% (9)
 8       Seattle Kraken                <1%

Winning the President’s Trophy

 1       Colorado Avalanche            35% (10)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           31% (6)
 3       Florida Panthers (1)         25% (15)
 4       Tampa Bay Lightning (1)      4% (9)
 5 (tie) Calgary Flames                1% (1)
 5 (tie) New York Rangers              1% (1)
 5 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (2)      1%
 5 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (2)      1%

Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.

Winning the Stanley Cup

 1       Colorado Avalanche            16% (1)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           11% (1)
 3 (tie) Calgary Flames (1)           9% (1)
 3 (tie) Florida Panthers (4)         9% (3)
 5       Pittsburgh Penguins           8% (1)
 6       Tampa Bay Lightning (3)      7% (2)
 7 (tie) Boston Bruins (1)            6% (1)
 7 (tie) New York Rangers (2)         6% (1)
 7 (tie) St. Louis Blues (1)          6% (1)
10       Toronto Maple Leafs (2)      5%
11 (tie) Los Angeles Kings             3%
11 (tie) Nashville Predators (3)      3% (1)
11 (tie) Washington Capitals (3)      3% (1)
14 (tie) Dallas Stars                  2%
14 (tie) Edmonton Oilers               2%
14 (tie) Minnesota Wild (3)           2% (1)
17 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (1)        1%
17 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (6)     1% (2)
17 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (2)            1% (1)
20 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (1)            <1%
20 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (1)          <1%
20 (tie) Buffalo Sabres (1)           <1%
20 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (1)       <1%
20 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (1)    <1%
20 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (1)        <1%
20 (tie) Montreal Canadiens (1)       <1%
20 (tie) New York Islanders (1)       <1%
20 (tie) New Jersey Devils (1)        <1%
20 (tie) Ottawa Senators (1)          <1%
20 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (1)      <1%
20 (tie) San Jose Sharks (1)          <1%
20 (tie) Seattle Kraken (1)           <1%

 

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