Month: March 2022

Here’s the last of my three catch-up McDonald NHL Power Ratings reports, once again without my usual witty insights and insightful commentary.  I was on a trans-atlantic cruise without Internet access for 16 days, so I got behind, but next week’s report should be back to normal.

Colorado remains the top rated team, and the most likely to win the Stanley Cup.  Carolina, Pittsburgh, and Florida remain in the top 5, and Calgary has entered the top 5 during the time of my cruise.  The playoff teams in the East seem pretty much decided, but there’s still some uncertainty in the West.  There’s less than a month to go in the regular season, so things should get pretty exciting now!

The top 5

1. Colorado Avalanche (1610, ▼12)

Record: 46-14-6, 1st in Central Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 51% (▼6)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 18% (▼1)

Last week: 2-1-1

• March 21: Won in OT 3-2 vs. Edmonton Oilers (13th, 1527)
• March 23: Lost 3-1 vs. Vancouver Canucks (16th, 1518)
• March 25: Won 6-3 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (27th, 1422)
• March 27: Lost in OT 3-2 @ Minnesota Wild (10th, 1538)

Next week:

• March 29: @ Calgary Flames (3rd, 1580)
• March 31: vs. San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1462)
• April 2: vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1579)

2. Carolina Hurricanes ▲3 (1589, ▲12)

Record: 43-15-7, 1st in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 20% (▲10)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 10% (▲2)

Last week: 2-0-1

• March 22: Won 3-2 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (9th, 1558)
• March 24: Lost in SO 4-3 vs. Dallas Stars (19th, 1500)
• March 26: Won 7-2 @ St. Louis Blues (10th, 1538)

Next week:

• March 28: @ Washington Capitals (15th, 1523)
• March 29: @ Tampa Bay Lightning (9th, 1558)
• March 31: vs. Montreal Canadiens (30th, 1407)
• April 2: vs. Minnesota Wild (10th, 1538)

3. Calgary Flames ▼1 (1580, ▼1)

Record: 40-17-8, 1st in Pacific Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 1% (▼1)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 10%

Last week: 2-1-0

• March 22: Lost 4-3 vs. San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1462)
• March 25: Won 4-2 vs. Arizona Coyotes (28th, 1417)
• March 26: Won 9-5 vs. Edmonton Oilers (13th, 1527)

Next week:

• March 29: vs. Colorado Avalanche (1st, 1610)
• March 31: vs. Los Angeles Kings (14th, 1524)
• April 2: vs. St. Louis Blues (10th, 1538)

4. Pittsburgh Penguins (1579)

Record: 40-17-10, 2nd in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: <1% (▼1)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 8%

Last week: 2-1-1

• March 22: Won 5-1 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (21st, 1478)
• March 23: Lost in SO 4-3 @ Buffalo Sabres (24th, 1433)
• March 25: Lost 5-1 @ New York Rangers (7th, 1565)
• March 27: Won 11-2 vs. Detroit Red Wings (29th, 1414)

Next week:

• March 29: vs. New York Rangers (7th, 1565)
• March 31: @ Minnesota Wild (10th, 1538)
• April 2: @ Colorado Avalanche (1st, 1610)

5. Florida Panthers ▼3 (1576, ▼5)

Record: 44-15-6, 1st in Atlantic Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 25% (▼1)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 8% (▼1)

Last week: 2-1-0

• March 24: Won 4-3 @ Montreal Canadiens (30th, 1407)
• March 26: Won in SO 4-3 @ Ottawa Senators (25th, 1429)
• March 27: Lost 5-2 @ Toronto Maple Leafs (8th, 1564)

Next week:

• March 29: vs. Montreal Canadiens (30th, 1407)
• March 31: vs. Chicago Blackhawks (23rd, 1443)
• April 2: @ New Jersey Devils (31st, 1405)
• April 3: @ Buffalo Sabres (24th, 1433)

Here’s the rankings and ratings.  Changes shown are from last week’s report.

Overall Ratings

 1       Colorado Avalanche            1610 (▼12)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes (▲3)      1589 (▲12)
 3       Calgary Flames (▼1)           1580 (▼1)
 4       Pittsburgh Penguins           1579
 5       Florida Panthers (▼3)         1576 (▼5)
 6       Boston Bruins (▲2)            1574 (▲10)
 7       New York Rangers (▼1)         1565 (▼7)
 8       Toronto Maple Leafs (▲1)      1564 (▲1)
 9       Tampa Bay Lightning (▼2)      1558 (▼8)
10 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▲2)           1538 (▲4)
10 (tie) St. Louis Blues               1538 (▼11)
12       Nashville Predators (▼1)      1534 (▼3)
13       Edmonton Oilers               1527 (▼5)
14       Los Angeles Kings (▲1)        1524 (▲8)
15       Washington Capitals (▼1)      1523 (▼4)
16       Vancouver Canucks (▲4)        1518 (▲20)
17 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights          1505 (▼7)
17 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▼1)            1505 (▼8)
19 (tie) Dallas Stars                  1500 (▲1)
19 (tie) New York Islanders (▼1)       1500 (▼3)
21       Columbus Blue Jackets         1478 (▼2)
22       San Jose Sharks               1462 (▲12)
23       Chicago Blackhawks (▲1)       1443 (▲14)
24       Buffalo Sabres (▲2)           1433 (▲7)
25       Ottawa Senators (▲3)          1429 (▲9)
26       Anaheim Ducks (▼3)            1423 (▼21)
27       Philadelphia Flyers (▼1)      1422 (▼4)
28       Arizona Coyotes (▼3)          1417 (▼10)
29       Detroit Red Wings             1414
30       Montreal Canadiens (▲2)       1407 (▲9)
31       New Jersey Devils (▼1)        1405
32       Seattle Kraken (▼1)           1404 (▲5)

Chances of Winning Division

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           80% (▲16)
 2       New York Rangers              13% (▼9)
 3       Pittsburgh Penguins           6% (▼7)
 4 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets         <1%
 4 (tie) New York Islanders            <1%
 4 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 4 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%
 4 (tie) Washington Capitals           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1       Florida Panthers              78% (▲2)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           9% (▼5)
 3       Toronto Maple Leafs           7% (▼1)
 4       Boston Bruins                 6% (▲3)
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            99%
 2       Minnesota Wild                1% (▲1)
 3 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (▼1)          <1%
 3 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (▼1)       <1%
 3 (tie) Dallas Stars (▼1)             <1%
 3 (tie) Nashville Predators (▼1)      <1%
 3 (tie) St. Louis Blues (▼1)          <1%
 3 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▼1)            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                97% (▲1)
 2       Los Angeles Kings             3% (▲1)
 3       Edmonton Oilers (▼1)          1% (▼1)
 4 (tie) Anaheim Ducks                 <1%
 4 (tie) San Jose Sharks               <1%
 4 (tie) Seattle Kraken                <1%
 4 (tie) Vancouver Canucks             <1%
 4 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights          <1%

Making the Playoffs

Metropolitan Division

 1 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           >99%
 1 (tie) New York Rangers              >99%
 1 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins           >99%
 4       Washington Capitals           99% (▲2)
 5       Columbus Blue Jackets         1% (▼1)
 6 (tie) New York Islanders            <1% (▼1)
 6 (tie) New Jersey Devils (▲1)        <1%
 6 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (▲1)      <1%

Atlantic Division

 1 (tie) Boston Bruins                 >99%
 1 (tie) Florida Panthers              >99%
 1 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning           >99%
 1 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs           >99%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            >99%
 2       Minnesota Wild (▲1)           99% (▲4)
 3       St. Louis Blues (▼1)          93% (▼3)
 4       Nashville Predators           92% (▼1)
 5       Dallas Stars                  73% (▲5)
 6       Winnipeg Jets                 15% (▼2)
 7 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
 7 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                >99%
 2       Los Angeles Kings             90% (▲6)
 3       Edmonton Oilers               74% (▼9)
 4       Vegas Golden Knights          37% (▼12)
 5       Vancouver Canucks             25% (▲13)
 6       San Jose Sharks               1%
 7 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▼1)            <1% (▼1)
 7 (tie) Seattle Kraken (▲1)           <1%

Winning the President’s Trophy

 1       Colorado Avalanche            51% (▼6)
 2       Florida Panthers              25% (▼1)
 3       Carolina Hurricanes           20% (▲10)
 4 (tie) Boston Bruins (▲5)            1% (▲1)
 4 (tie) Calgary Flames                1% (▼1)
 4 (tie) New York Rangers (▲2)         1%
 4 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning           1% (▼1)
 4 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (▲2)      1%

Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.

Winning the Stanley Cup

 1       Colorado Avalanche            18% (▼1)
 2 (tie) Calgary Flames                10%
 2 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes (▲2)      10% (▲2)
 4 (tie) Florida Panthers (▼1)         8% (▼1)
 4 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins           8%
 6       Boston Bruins (▲3)            7% (▲2)
 7 (tie) New York Rangers (▼1)         6% (▼1)
 7 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs           6%
 9       Tampa Bay Lightning (▼2)      5% (▼1)
10 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▲1)           4% (▲1)
10 (tie) St. Louis Blues (▼1)          4% (▼1)
12 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (▼1)          3%
12 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (▲2)        3% (▲1)
12 (tie) Nashville Predators (▼1)      3%
15       Washington Capitals (▼1)      2%
16 (tie) Dallas Stars                  1%
16 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (▲3)        1% (▲1)
16 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights          1%
19 (tie) Anaheim Ducks                 <1%
19 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
19 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
19 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%
19 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets         <1%
19 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
19 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
19 (tie) New York Islanders            <1%
19 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
19 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%
19 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%
19 (tie) San Jose Sharks               <1%
19 (tie) Seattle Kraken                <1%
19 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▼3)            <1% (▼1)

 

This is the second of my three catch-up McDonald NHL Power Rating reports, delayed because of a trans-atlantic cruise with no Internet access.  As with the previous one, there is no insightful commentary on this one.  However, look at Calgary!!!  Where did they come from???

The top 5

1. Colorado Avalanche (1622, ▲11)

Record: 44-13-5, 1st in Central Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 57% (▲22)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 19% (▲3)

Last week: 2-0-0

• March 15: Won 3-0 @ Los Angeles Kings (15th, 1516)
• March 18: Won 5-3 @ San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1450)

Next week:

• March 21: vs. Edmonton Oilers (13th, 1532)
• March 23: vs. Vancouver Canucks (20th, 1498)
• March 25: vs. Philadelphia Flyers (26th, 1426)
• March 27: @ Minnesota Wild (12th, 1534)

2 (tie). Calgary Flames ▲3 (1581, ▲7)

Record: 38-16-8, 1st in Pacific Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 2% (▲1)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 10% (▲1)

Last week: 2-0-1

• March 16: Won 6-3 vs. New Jersey Devils (30th, 1405)
• March 18: Lost in OT 1-0 vs. Buffalo Sabres (26th, 1426)
• March 19: Won 5-2 @ Vancouver Canucks (20th, 1498)

Next week:

• March 22: vs. San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1450)
• March 25: vs. Arizona Coyotes (25th, 1427)
• March 26: vs. Edmonton Oilers (13th, 1532)

2 (tie). Florida Panthers ▲1 (1581, ▼5)

Record: 42-14-6, 1st in Atlantic Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 26% (▲1)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 9%

Last week: 2-1-0

• March 15: Won in OT 3-2 @ San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1450)
• March 17: Lost 5-3 @ Vegas Golden Knights (17th, 1512)
• March 18: Won 3-0 @ Anaheim Ducks (23rd, 1444)

Next week:

• March 24: @ Montreal Canadiens (32nd, 1398)
• March 26: @ Ottawa Senators (28th, 1420)
• March 27: @ Toronto Maple Leafs (9th, 1563)

4. Pittsburgh Penguins (1579, ▼1)

Record: 38-16-9, 3rd in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 1%
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 8%

Last week: 2-1-0

• March 15: Lost 4-1 @ Nashville Predators (11th, 1537)
• March 17: Won in SO 3-2 @ St. Louis Blues (10th, 1549)
• March 19: Won 4-1 @ Arizona Coyotes (25th, 1427)

Next week:

• March 22: vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (21st, 1480)
• March 23: @ Buffalo Sabres (26th, 1426)
• March 25: @ New York Rangers (6th, 1572)
• March 27: vs. Detroit Red Wings (29th, 1414)

5. Carolina Hurricanes ▼3 (1577, ▼18)

Record: 41-15-6, 1st in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 10% (▼21)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 8% (▼3)

Last week: 0-2-1

• March 17: Lost 3-2 @ Toronto Maple Leafs (9th, 1563)
• March 18: Lost in SO 4-3 vs. Washington Capitals (14th, 1527)
• March 20: Lost 2-0 vs. New York Rangers (6th, 1572)

Next week:

• March 22: vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (7th, 1566)
• March 24: vs. Dallas Stars (19th, 1499)
• March 26: @ St. Louis Blues (10th, 1549)

Here’s the rankings and ratings.  Changes shown are from last week’s report.

Overall Ratings

 1       Colorado Avalanche            1622 (▲11)
 2 (tie) Calgary Flames (▲3)           1581 (▲7)
 2 (tie) Florida Panthers (▲1)         1581 (▼5)
 4       Pittsburgh Penguins           1579 (▼1)
 5       Carolina Hurricanes (▼3)      1577 (▼18)
 6       New York Rangers (▲1)         1572 (▲5)
 7       Tampa Bay Lightning (▼1)      1566 (▼4)
 8       Boston Bruins                 1564 (▼2)
 9       Toronto Maple Leafs (▲1)      1563 (▲6)
10       St. Louis Blues (▼1)          1549 (▼10)
11       Nashville Predators           1537 (▲7)
12       Minnesota Wild (▲2)           1534 (▲13)
13       Edmonton Oilers (▲2)          1532 (▲14)
14       Washington Capitals (▼2)      1527 (▼1)
15       Los Angeles Kings (▼2)        1516 (▼8)
16       Winnipeg Jets (▲1)            1513 (▲7)
17       Vegas Golden Knights (▲1)     1512 (▲9)
18       New York Islanders (▲2)       1503 (▲8)
19       Dallas Stars (▼1)             1499 (▼4)
20       Vancouver Canucks (▼4)        1498 (▼14)
21       Columbus Blue Jackets         1480 (▲10)
22       San Jose Sharks               1450 (▼2)
23       Anaheim Ducks                 1444 (▼3)
24       Chicago Blackhawks            1429 (▼10)
25       Arizona Coyotes (▲2)          1427 (▲5)
26 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                1426 (▲1)
26 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (▲3)      1426 (▲11)
28       Ottawa Senators (▼3)          1420 (▼16)
29       Detroit Red Wings             1414 (▼1)
30       New Jersey Devils (▼2)        1405 (▼13)
31       Seattle Kraken (▲1)           1399 (▲2)
32       Montreal Canadiens (▼1)       1398

Chances of Winning Division

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           64% (▼19)
 2       New York Rangers              22% (▲13)
 3       Pittsburgh Penguins           13% (▲5)
 4 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets         <1%
 4 (tie) New York Islanders            <1%
 4 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 4 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%
 4 (tie) Washington Capitals           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1       Florida Panthers              76% (▲4)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning           14% (▼4)
 3       Toronto Maple Leafs           8% (▲1)
 4       Boston Bruins                 3%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            99% (▲2)
 2 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (▲1)          <1%
 2 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (▲1)       <1%
 2 (tie) Dallas Stars (▲1)             <1%
 2 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▲1)           <1%
 2 (tie) Nashville Predators (▲1)      <1%
 2 (tie) St. Louis Blues               <1% (▼2)
 2 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▲1)            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                96% (▲5)
 2 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (▲1)          2%
 2 (tie) Los Angeles Kings             2% (▼5)
 4 (tie) Anaheim Ducks                 <1%
 4 (tie) San Jose Sharks               <1%
 4 (tie) Seattle Kraken                <1%
 4 (tie) Vancouver Canucks             <1%
 4 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights          <1%

Making the Playoffs

Metropolitan Division

 1 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           >99%
 1 (tie) New York Rangers              >99%
 1 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins           >99%
 4       Washington Capitals           97% (▲3)
 5       Columbus Blue Jackets         2% (▼2)
 6       New York Islanders            1% (▼2)
 7 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 7 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1 (tie) Boston Bruins                 >99%
 1 (tie) Florida Panthers              >99%
 1 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning           >99%
 1 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs           >99%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            >99%
 2       St. Louis Blues               96% (▼2)
 3       Minnesota Wild (▲1)           95% (▲6)
 4       Nashville Predators (▼1)      93% (▲3)
 5       Dallas Stars                  68% (▼2)
 6       Winnipeg Jets                 17% (▲1)
 7 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
 7 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                >99%
 2       Los Angeles Kings             84% (▼6)
 3       Edmonton Oilers               83% (▲16)
 4       Vegas Golden Knights          49% (▲8)
 5       Vancouver Canucks             12% (▼21)
 6 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▲1)            1% (▼1)
 6 (tie) San Jose Sharks               1% (▼3)
 8       Seattle Kraken                <1%

Winning the President’s Trophy

 1       Colorado Avalanche            57% (▲22)
 2       Florida Panthers (▲1)         26% (▲1)
 3       Carolina Hurricanes (▼1)      10% (▼21)
 4 (tie) Calgary Flames (▲1)           2% (▲1)
 4 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning           2% (▼2)
 6 (tie) New York Rangers (▼1)         1%
 6 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▼1)      1%
 6 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (▼1)      1%

Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.

Winning the Stanley Cup

 1       Colorado Avalanche            19% (▲3)
 2       Calgary Flames (▲1)           10% (▲1)
 3       Florida Panthers              9%
 4 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes (▼2)      8% (▼3)
 4 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▲1)      8%
 6       New York Rangers (▲1)         7% (▲1)
 7 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning (▼1)      6% (▼1)
 7 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (▲3)      6% (▲1)
 9 (tie) Boston Bruins (▼2)            5% (▼1)
 9 (tie) St. Louis Blues (▼2)          5% (▼1)
11 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (▲3)          3% (▲1)
11 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▲3)           3% (▲1)
11 (tie) Nashville Predators           3%
14 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (▼3)        2% (▼1)
14 (tie) Washington Capitals (▼3)      2% (▼1)
16 (tie) Dallas Stars (▼2)             1% (▼1)
16 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (▲1)     1%
16 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▲1)            1%
19 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▲1)            <1%
19 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (▲1)          <1%
19 (tie) Buffalo Sabres (▲1)           <1%
19 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (▲1)       <1%
19 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (▲1)    <1%
19 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (▲1)        <1%
19 (tie) Montreal Canadiens (▲1)       <1%
19 (tie) New York Islanders (▲1)       <1%
19 (tie) New Jersey Devils (▲1)        <1%
19 (tie) Ottawa Senators (▲1)          <1%
19 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (▲1)      <1%
19 (tie) San Jose Sharks (▲1)          <1%
19 (tie) Seattle Kraken (▲1)           <1%
19 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (▼2)        <1% (▼1)

 

I was just on a trans-atlantic cruise, and the ship I was on had no Internet, so I’ve been Internet-less for the last 16 days.  I’ve also been hockey coverage-less, as the boat’s TV channels didn’t cover hockey, although it did have lots of Australian Rules Football, soccer, and American college basketball.  Anyways, I’m back on dry land, but am quite far behind on my hockey reports.  So, I’ going to add in the weekly reports I had missed, but without my usual witty commentary.

Anyways, here goes the first missed weekly report.

The top 5

1. Colorado Avalanche (1611, ▼6)

Record: 42-13-5, 1st in Central Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 35% (▼10)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 16% (▼1)

Last week: 2-2-0

• March 7: Won 5-4 @ New York Islanders (20th, 1495)
• March 8: Lost 5-3 @ New Jersey Devils (28th, 1418)
• March 10: Lost 2-0 @ Carolina Hurricanes (2nd, 1595)
• March 13: Won 3-0 vs. Calgary Flames (5th, 1574)

Next week:

• March 15: @ Los Angeles Kings (13th, 1524)
• March 18: @ San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1452)

2. Carolina Hurricanes (1595, ▲3)

Record: 41-13-5, 1st in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 31% (▲6)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 11% (▲1)

Last week: 2-1-0

• March 10: Won 2-0 vs. Colorado Avalanche (1st, 1611)
• March 12: Won 3-1 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (29th, 1415)
• March 13: Lost 4-2 @ Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1580)

Next week:

• March 17: @ Toronto Maple Leafs (10th, 1557)
• March 18: vs. Washington Capitals (12th, 1528)
• March 20: vs. New York Rangers (7th, 1567)

3. Florida Panthers ▲4 (1586, ▲17)

Record: 40-13-6, 1st in Atlantic Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 25% (▲15)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 9% (▲3)

Last week: 3-0-1

• March 7: Won 6-1 @ Buffalo Sabres (26th, 1425)
• March 8: Won 4-3 @ Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1580)
• March 10: Won 6-3 vs. Philadelphia Flyers (29th, 1415)
• March 13: Lost in SO 3-2 @ Los Angeles Kings (13th, 1524)

Next week:

• March 15: @ San Jose Sharks (22nd, 1452)
• March 17: @ Vegas Golden Knights (18th, 1503)
• March 18: @ Anaheim Ducks (23rd, 1447)

4. Pittsburgh Penguins (1580, ▲5)

Record: 36-15-9, 2nd in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 1%
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 8% (▲1)

Last week: 2-1-0

• March 8: Lost 4-3 vs. Florida Panthers (3rd, 1586)
• March 11: Won 5-2 vs. Vegas Golden Knights (18th, 1503)
• March 13: Won 4-2 vs. Carolina Hurricanes (2nd, 1595)

Next week:

• March 15: @ Nashville Predators (11th, 1530)
• March 17: @ St. Louis Blues (9th, 1559)
• March 19: @ Arizona Coyotes (27th, 1422)

5. Calgary Flames ▲1 (1574)

Record: 36-16-7, 1st in Pacific Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99% (▲1)
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 1% (▼1)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 9% (▲1)

Last week: 3-2-0

• March 7: Won 3-1 vs. Edmonton Oilers (15th, 1518)
• March 8: Lost 5-4 vs. Washington Capitals (12th, 1528)
• March 10: Won 4-1 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (6th, 1570)
• March 12: Won 3-0 vs. Detroit Red Wings (29th, 1415)
• March 13: Lost 3-0 @ Colorado Avalanche (1st, 1611)

Next week:

• March 16: vs. New Jersey Devils (28th, 1418)
• March 18: vs. Buffalo Sabres (26th, 1425)
• March 19: @ Vancouver Canucks (16th, 1512)

Here’s the rankings and ratings.  Changes shown are from last week’s report.

Overall Ratings

 1       Colorado Avalanche            1611 (▼6)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           1595 (▲3)
 3       Florida Panthers (▲4)         1586 (▲17)
 4       Pittsburgh Penguins           1580 (▲5)
 5       Calgary Flames (▲1)           1574
 6       Tampa Bay Lightning (▼3)      1570 (▼16)
 7       New York Rangers (▼3)         1567 (▼8)
 8       Boston Bruins (▲1)            1566 (▲7)
 9       St. Louis Blues (▲1)          1559 (▲2)
10       Toronto Maple Leafs (▼2)      1557 (▼5)
11       Nashville Predators (▲3)      1530 (▲13)
12       Washington Capitals (▲4)      1528 (▲12)
13       Los Angeles Kings (▼2)        1524 (▼11)
14       Minnesota Wild (▼1)           1521 (▼4)
15       Edmonton Oilers (▲1)          1518 (▲2)
16       Vancouver Canucks             1512 (▼4)
17       Winnipeg Jets (▲2)            1506 (▲11)
18 (tie) Dallas Stars (▼4)             1503 (▼14)
18 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (▼7)     1503 (▼32)
20       New York Islanders            1495 (▲13)
21       Columbus Blue Jackets         1470 (▼3)
22       San Jose Sharks (▲1)          1452 (▲12)
23       Anaheim Ducks (▼1)            1447 (▼18)
24       Chicago Blackhawks (▲1)       1439 (▲13)
25       Ottawa Senators (▼1)          1436
26       Buffalo Sabres (▲4)           1425 (▲14)
27       Arizona Coyotes (▲2)          1422 (▲9)
28       New Jersey Devils (▼1)        1418 (▲4)
29 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (▼4)        1415 (▼11)
29 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (▼2)      1415 (▲1)
31       Montreal Canadiens            1398 (▼4)
32       Seattle Kraken                1397

Chances of Winning Division

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           83% (▲9)
 2       New York Rangers              9% (▼8)
 3       Pittsburgh Penguins           8%
 4 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets         <1%
 4 (tie) New York Islanders            <1%
 4 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 4 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%
 4 (tie) Washington Capitals           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1       Florida Panthers (▲1)         72% (▲32)
 2       Tampa Bay Lightning (▼1)      18% (▼28)
 3       Toronto Maple Leafs           7% (▼4)
 4       Boston Bruins                 3%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            97%
 2       St. Louis Blues               2%
 3 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (▲1)          <1%
 3 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (▲1)       <1%
 3 (tie) Dallas Stars (▲1)             <1%
 3 (tie) Minnesota Wild                <1% (▼1)
 3 (tie) Nashville Predators (▲1)      <1%
 3 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▲1)            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                91% (▲7)
 2       Los Angeles Kings             7% (▼2)
 3       Edmonton Oilers (▲1)          2%
 4 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▲1)            <1%
 4 (tie) San Jose Sharks (▲1)          <1%
 4 (tie) Seattle Kraken (▲1)           <1%
 4 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (▲1)        <1%
 4 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (▼1)     <1% (▼5)

Making the Playoffs

Metropolitan Division

 1 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           >99%
 1 (tie) New York Rangers              >99%
 1 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins           >99%
 4       Washington Capitals           94% (▲7)
 5       Columbus Blue Jackets         4% (▼6)
 6       New York Islanders            3%
 7 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 7 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1 (tie) Boston Bruins (▲3)            >99% (▲1)
 1 (tie) Florida Panthers              >99%
 1 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning           >99%
 1 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs           >99%
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            >99%
 2       St. Louis Blues               98% (▲2)
 3       Nashville Predators (▲2)      90% (▲16)
 4       Minnesota Wild (▼1)           89% (▲4)
 5       Dallas Stars (▼1)             70% (▼10)
 6       Winnipeg Jets                 16% (▲8)
 7 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
 7 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                >99% (▲1)
 2       Los Angeles Kings             90% (▲5)
 3       Edmonton Oilers (▲1)          67% (▲17)
 4       Vegas Golden Knights (▼1)     41% (▼37)
 5       Vancouver Canucks             33% (▲1)
 6       San Jose Sharks (▲1)          4% (▲3)
 7       Anaheim Ducks (▼1)            2% (▼9)
 8       Seattle Kraken                <1%

Winning the President’s Trophy

 1       Colorado Avalanche            35% (▼10)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           31% (▲6)
 3       Florida Panthers (▲1)         25% (▲15)
 4       Tampa Bay Lightning (▼1)      4% (▼9)
 5 (tie) Calgary Flames                1% (▼1)
 5 (tie) New York Rangers              1% (▼1)
 5 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▲2)      1%
 5 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (▲2)      1%

Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.

Winning the Stanley Cup

 1       Colorado Avalanche            16% (▼1)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           11% (▲1)
 3 (tie) Calgary Flames (▲1)           9% (▲1)
 3 (tie) Florida Panthers (▲4)         9% (▲3)
 5       Pittsburgh Penguins           8% (▲1)
 6       Tampa Bay Lightning (▼3)      7% (▼2)
 7 (tie) Boston Bruins (▲1)            6% (▲1)
 7 (tie) New York Rangers (▼2)         6% (▼1)
 7 (tie) St. Louis Blues (▲1)          6% (▲1)
10       Toronto Maple Leafs (▼2)      5%
11 (tie) Los Angeles Kings             3%
11 (tie) Nashville Predators (▲3)      3% (▲1)
11 (tie) Washington Capitals (▲3)      3% (▲1)
14 (tie) Dallas Stars                  2%
14 (tie) Edmonton Oilers               2%
14 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▼3)           2% (▼1)
17 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (▲1)        1%
17 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (▼6)     1% (▼2)
17 (tie) Winnipeg Jets (▲2)            1% (▲1)
20 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▼1)            <1%
20 (tie) Arizona Coyotes (▼1)          <1%
20 (tie) Buffalo Sabres (▼1)           <1%
20 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks (▼1)       <1%
20 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets (▼1)    <1%
20 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (▼1)        <1%
20 (tie) Montreal Canadiens (▼1)       <1%
20 (tie) New York Islanders (▼1)       <1%
20 (tie) New Jersey Devils (▼1)        <1%
20 (tie) Ottawa Senators (▼1)          <1%
20 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers (▼1)      <1%
20 (tie) San Jose Sharks (▼1)          <1%
20 (tie) Seattle Kraken (▼1)           <1%

 

Two teams re-entered the McDonald NHL Power Rankings this week, and so of course two teams dropped out, but there was no change in our top 3.

The top-ranked team continues to be Colorado.  They had a weak week, going 1-1-1 and dropping 9 rating points, but second-ranked Carolina also had a weak week (I like that!), despite going 2-1-1, so Colorado remains at the top.  Colorado started off the week with a home victory over the 20th-ranked New York Islanders, but then lost away against 29th-ranked Arizona (29th-ranked Arizona!!!), then an overtime loss at home to 6th-ranked Calgary.  After those two losses, we’ve dropped our estimate of their chances of winning the President’s Trophy down from 45%, a decrease of 7%.  We’ve also revised their chances of winning the Stanley Cup, from 19% last week down to 17% this week.

Carolina started the week with two losses, an overtime loss to 25th-ranked Detroit and a regulation shutout from 16th-ranked Washington.  They turned it around with an overtime win against 4th-ranked Pittsburgh and a regulation win against 32nd-ranked Seattle.  But, because of the two losses, and needing overtime in their Pittsburgh win, we’ve decreased their rating points by 10, still good enough for 2nd in our rankings.

Tampa Bay was ranked 3rd last week, and they retain that ranking this week, but they’re moving closer to the top 2!  They are currently only 6 rating points behind Carolina after going 3-1-0 this week.  They had wins against 24th-ranked Ottawa and 25th-ranked Detroit and Chicago (they’re both tied in 25th), but lost to 4th-ranked Pittsburgh.  Still, the 3 wins were enough for them to pick up 4 rating points and move them a little closer to 2nd in the McDonald NHL Power Rankings.

Pittsburgh only had two games this week, but both on the road against tough teams!  They beat 3rd-ranked Tampa Bay, then 2nd-ranked Carolina needed overtime to beat them.  Despite going 1-0-1 this week, we still awarded them 10 rating points, which moved them from 7th in our rankings back up to 4th.

The New York Rangers round out our top 5, tied with Pittsburgh in 4th.  They went 3-0-0 this week, defeating 10th-ranked St. Louis, 27th-ranked New Jersey, and 19th-ranked Winnipeg.  Their unblemished week earned them 18 rating points, moving them all the way from 9th in our ratings last week up to a tie for 4th with Pittsburgh.

Toronto had a long run in the top 5, but after a poor week, they’ve dropped out, all the way down to 8th.  They started with a road win against 16th-ranked Washington, but then lost their next two, to 30th-ranked Buffalo and 16th-ranked Vancouver, resulting in a drop of 15 rating points.  They have a chance to turn it around next week, facing 21st-ranked Columbus, 32nd-ranked Seattle, 29th-ranked Arizona, and 30th-ranked Buffalo.

The other team dropping out of the top 5 was St. Louis, who went winless this week in 3 road games, and dropped from 5th all the way down to 10th in the McDonald NHL Power Rankings.  Their losses came to the 4th-ranked Rangers, the 20th-ranked Islanders, and 27th-ranked New Jersey, this last one in overtime.

The best performing team in our rankings this week was 29th-ranked Arizona!  They won both their games at home this week, defeating top-ranked Colorado (!!!!!) and 24th-ranked Ottawa.  We awarded them 19 rating points for those two victories, which was enough to push them up two spots from 31st in our rankings.  Still, we’re giving them a less than 1% chance of making the playoffs.

The worst performing team was Ottawa.  They had four road games, and they lost them all in regulation time.  Those losses came to Tampa Bay (ranked 3rd), Florida (7th), Arizona (29th), and Vegas (11th).  Obviously, a road trip to warmer climes did not agree with them. 

And there was a change at the bottom of the rankings!  After being lowest-ranked for weeks on end, Montreal has climbed up to 31st!  They had the pleasure of a Western Canadian road trip, playing Winnipeg, Calgary, and Edmonton.  They started with a loss to 19th-ranked Winnipeg, but then beat 6th-ranked Calgary in overtime and 16th-ranked Edmonton in regulation.  This earned them 10 rating points, which pushed them back over that 1400 mark, up to 1402, and past Seattle.

Seattle now sits in the McDonald NHL Power Rankings cellar.  They went 1-2-0 this week, beating 14th-ranked Nashville at home, then losing to 16th-ranked Washington and 2nd-ranked Carolina.  Despite one win and two losses, we awarded them 1 additional rating point, but that wasn’t enough to keep them from being passed by the Canadiens.

The top 5

1. Colorado Avalanche (1617, ▼9)

Record: 40-11-5, 1st in Central Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 45% (▼7)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 17% (▼2)

Last week: 1-1-1

• March 1: Won 5-3 vs. New York Islanders (20th, 1482)
• March 3: Lost 2-1 @ Arizona Coyotes (29th, 1413)
• March 5: Lost in OT 4-3 vs. Calgary Flames (6th, 1574)

Next week:

• March 7: @ New York Islanders (20th, 1482)
• March 8: @ New Jersey Devils (27th, 1414)
• March 10: @ Carolina Hurricanes (2nd, 1592)
• March 13: vs. Calgary Flames (6th, 1574)

2. Carolina Hurricanes (1592, ▼10)

Record: 39-12-5, 1st in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 25% (▼3)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 10% (▼2)

Last week: 2-1-1

• March 1: Lost in OT 4-3 @ Detroit Red Wings (25th, 1426)
• March 3: Lost 4-0 @ Washington Capitals (16th, 1516)
• March 4: Won in OT 3-2 vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1575)
• March 6: Won 3-2 vs. Seattle Kraken (32nd, 1397)

Next week:

• March 10: vs. Colorado Avalanche (1st, 1617)
• March 12: vs. Philadelphia Flyers (27th, 1414)
• March 13: @ Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1575)

3. Tampa Bay Lightning (1586, ▲4)

Record: 37-12-6, 1st in Atlantic Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99%
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 13% (▲4)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 9% (▲1)

Last week: 3-1-0

• March 1: Won 5-2 vs. Ottawa Senators (24th, 1436)
• March 3: Lost 5-1 vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (4th, 1575)
• March 4: Won 3-1 vs. Detroit Red Wings (25th, 1426)
• March 6: Won 6-3 @ Chicago Blackhawks (25th, 1426)

Next week:

• March 8: @ Winnipeg Jets (19th, 1495)
• March 10: @ Calgary Flames (6th, 1574)
• March 12: @ Edmonton Oilers (16th, 1516)
• March 13: @ Vancouver Canucks (16th, 1516)

4 (tie). New York Rangers ▲5 (1575, ▲18)

Record: 36-15-5, 2nd in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99% (▲1)
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 2% (▲1)
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 7% (▲2)

Last week: 3-0-0

• March 2: Won 5-3 vs. St. Louis Blues (10th, 1557)
• March 4: Won 3-1 vs. New Jersey Devils (27th, 1414)
• March 6: Won 4-1 @ Winnipeg Jets (19th, 1495)

Next week:

• March 8: @ Minnesota Wild (13th, 1525)
• March 10: @ St. Louis Blues (10th, 1557)
• March 12: @ Dallas Stars (14th, 1517)

4 (tie). Pittsburgh Penguins ▲3 (1575, ▲10)

Record: 34-14-9, 3rd in Metropolitan Division

Chances of: 

• Making the playoffs: >99% (▲1)
• Winning the President’s Trophy: 1%
• Winning the Stanley Cup: 7% (▲1)

Last week: 1-0-1

• March 3: Won 5-1 @ Tampa Bay Lightning (3rd, 1586)
• March 4: Lost in OT 3-2 @ Carolina Hurricanes (2nd, 1592)

Next week:

• March 8: vs. Florida Panthers (7th, 1569)
• March 11: vs. Vegas Golden Knights (11th, 1535)
• March 13: vs. Carolina Hurricanes (2nd, 1592)

Here’s the rankings and ratings.  Changes shown are from last week’s report.

Overall Ratings

 1       Colorado Avalanche            1617 (▼9)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           1592 (▼10)
 3       Tampa Bay Lightning           1586 (▲4)
 4 (tie) New York Rangers (▲5)         1575 (▲18)
 4 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▲3)      1575 (▲10)
 6       Calgary Flames                1574 (▲6)
 7       Florida Panthers (▲1)         1569 (▲9)
 8       Toronto Maple Leafs (▼4)      1562 (▼15)
 9       Boston Bruins (▲1)            1559 (▲6)
10       St. Louis Blues (▼5)          1557 (▼18)
11 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (▲1)        1535 (▼9)
11 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (▲2)     1535 (▲9)
13       Minnesota Wild (▼2)           1525 (▼20)
14 (tie) Dallas Stars (▲4)             1517 (▲18)
14 (tie) Nashville Predators (▲1)      1517 (▼2)
16 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (▼2)          1516 (▼6)
16 (tie) Vancouver Canucks (▲1)        1516 (▲9)
16 (tie) Washington Capitals           1516 (▲7)
19       Winnipeg Jets                 1495 (▼3)
20       New York Islanders            1482 (▼3)
21       Columbus Blue Jackets         1473 (▲7)
22       Anaheim Ducks                 1465 (▲1)
23       San Jose Sharks (▲1)          1440 (▼11)
24       Ottawa Senators (▼1)          1436 (▼22)
25 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            1426 (▼11)
25 (tie) Detroit Red Wings (▲1)        1426 (▼5)
27 (tie) New Jersey Devils (▲1)        1414 (▲1)
27 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           1414 (▼5)
29       Arizona Coyotes (▲2)          1413 (▲19)
30       Buffalo Sabres (▼1)           1411 (▲15)
31       Montreal Canadiens (▲1)       1402 (▲10)
32       Seattle Kraken (▼3)           1397 (▲1)

Chances of Winning Division

Metropolitan Division

 1       Carolina Hurricanes           74% (▼11)
 2       New York Rangers              17% (▲9)
 3       Pittsburgh Penguins           8% (▲1)
 4 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets         <1%
 4 (tie) New York Islanders            <1%
 4 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 4 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%
 4 (tie) Washington Capitals           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1       Tampa Bay Lightning           46% (▲4)
 2       Florida Panthers              40% (▲10)
 3       Toronto Maple Leafs           11% (▼15)
 4       Boston Bruins                 3% (▲1)
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            97% (▲4)
 2       St. Louis Blues               2% (▼3)
 3       Minnesota Wild                1% (▼1)
 4 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
 4 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%
 4 (tie) Dallas Stars                  <1%
 4 (tie) Nashville Predators           <1%
 4 (tie) Winnipeg Jets                 <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                84% (▲12)
 2       Los Angeles Kings             9% (▼8)
 3       Vegas Golden Knights          5% (▼1)
 4       Edmonton Oilers               2% (▼2)
 5 (tie) Anaheim Ducks (▲1)            <1%
 5 (tie) San Jose Sharks (▲1)          <1%
 5 (tie) Seattle Kraken (▲1)           <1%
 5 (tie) Vancouver Canucks             <1% (▼1)

Making the Playoffs

Metropolitan Division

 1 (tie) Carolina Hurricanes           >99%
 1 (tie) New York Rangers (▲1)         >99% (▲1)
 1 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▲1)      >99% (▲1)
 4       Washington Capitals           87% (▲4)
 5       Columbus Blue Jackets         10% (▼1)
 6       New York Islanders            3% (▼4)
 7 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
 7 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%

Atlantic Division

 1 (tie) Florida Panthers              >99%
 1 (tie) Tampa Bay Lightning           >99%
 1 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs           >99%
 4       Boston Bruins                 99% (▲1)
 5 (tie) Buffalo Sabres (▲2)           <1%
 5 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1% (▼1)
 5 (tie) Montreal Canadiens (▲2)       <1%
 5 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1% (▼1)

Central Division

 1       Colorado Avalanche            >99%
 2       St. Louis Blues               96% (▼3)
 3       Minnesota Wild                85% (▼9)
 4       Dallas Stars (▲1)             80% (▲23)
 5       Nashville Predators (▼1)      74% (▼2)
 6       Winnipeg Jets                 8% (▼5)
 7 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
 7 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%

Pacific Division

 1       Calgary Flames                99%
 2       Los Angeles Kings             85% (▼3)
 3       Vegas Golden Knights          78% (▲9)
 4       Edmonton Oilers               50% (▼10)
 5       Vancouver Canucks             32% (▲5)
 6       Anaheim Ducks                 11% (▼1)
 7       San Jose Sharks               1% (▼4)
 8       Seattle Kraken                <1%

Winning the President’s Trophy

 1       Colorado Avalanche            45% (▼7)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           25% (▼3)
 3       Tampa Bay Lightning           13% (▲4)
 4       Florida Panthers              10% (▲5)
 5 (tie) Calgary Flames (▲1)           2% (▲1)
 5 (tie) New York Rangers (▲1)         2% (▲1)
 7 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▼1)      1%
 7 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (▼2)      1% (▼3)

Everyone else has less than a 1% chance of winning the President’s Trophy.

Winning the Stanley Cup

 1       Colorado Avalanche            17% (▼2)
 2       Carolina Hurricanes           10% (▼2)
 3       Tampa Bay Lightning           9% (▲1)
 4       Calgary Flames                8% (▲1)
 5 (tie) New York Rangers (▲3)         7% (▲2)
 5 (tie) Pittsburgh Penguins (▲2)      7% (▲1)
 7       Florida Panthers (▲1)         6% (▲1)
 8 (tie) Boston Bruins (▲2)            5% (▲1)
 8 (tie) St. Louis Blues (▼4)          5% (▼2)
 8 (tie) Toronto Maple Leafs (▼4)      5% (▼2)
11 (tie) Los Angeles Kings (▼1)        3% (▼1)
11 (tie) Minnesota Wild (▼1)           3% (▼1)
11 (tie) Vegas Golden Knights (▲2)     3% (▲1)
14 (tie) Dallas Stars (▲3)             2% (▲1)
14 (tie) Edmonton Oilers (▼1)          2%
14 (tie) Nashville Predators (▼1)      2%
14 (tie) Washington Capitals (▼1)      2%
18       Vancouver Canucks (▼1)        1%
19 (tie) Anaheim Ducks                 <1%
19 (tie) Arizona Coyotes               <1%
19 (tie) Buffalo Sabres                <1%
19 (tie) Chicago Blackhawks            <1%
19 (tie) Columbus Blue Jackets         <1%
19 (tie) Detroit Red Wings             <1%
19 (tie) Montreal Canadiens            <1%
19 (tie) New York Islanders            <1%
19 (tie) New Jersey Devils             <1%
19 (tie) Ottawa Senators               <1%
19 (tie) Philadelphia Flyers           <1%
19 (tie) San Jose Sharks               <1%
19 (tie) Seattle Kraken                <1%
19 (tie) Winnipeg Jets                 <1%