It was a little slower week in the CFL, with only three games, as opposed to last week’s 5 games. In Friday night’s game, the West’s top team, Winnipeg, visited last-in-the-West Edmonton. In a closer game than expected, Winnipeg beat Edmonton 26-16. The game was tied at 16 after three quarters, but Winnipeg put another touchdown and a field goal on the board, while their defense shut out Edmonton — Winnipeg hasn’t given up a touchdown in the fourth quarter yet this season! Winnipeg is now 9-1, their best start since 1960.
There were two games on Saturday. In the first, Montreal defeated lowly Ottawa 27-16. Matthew Shiltz, Montreal’s quarterback, threw for 281 yards in his first start of the season. Montreal’s defense recorded 10 (yes, 10!!!) sacks in the game. With the score at 25-13 in Montreal’s favour at the half, there were only 5 more points scored in the second half, three on a field goal for Ottawa in the 3rd quarter, and 2 for Montreal on a safety in the fourth.
In the last game of the week, Calgary powered past British Columbia, 39-10. This was Calgary’s third straight win, and moved them into 2nd place in the West, tied with Saskatchewan, although the Riders do have a game in hand. British Columbia has lost three straight, all at home, and have now dropped out of a playoff spot. Things don’t look much better for them coming up, as they head to Winnipeg next week, while Calgary will host Saskatchewan; that will be Saskatchewan’s third game in a row against Calgary, as they had a bye this week.
Week 11 Results
Winnipeg 26 at Edmonton 16
Montreal 27 at Ottawa 16
Calgary 39 at British Columbia 10
McDonald CFL Power Ratings
Winnipeg remains on top of the McDonald CFL Power Rankings, with a season-high rating of 1613, far ahead of any other team. But, this is the CFL, and anything can happen! With their win, Calgary moved up to 2nd spot, pushing Saskatchewan down into 3rd, although they are only 2 rating points ahead of the Riders. With Montreal’s win, there are now 6 teams with higher than a 1500 rating. Ottawa continues to dwell in the cellar.
| Ranking | Team | Rating | Record |
| 1 | Winnipeg | 1613 (▲9) | 9-1, 1st West |
| 2 (▲2) | Calgary | 1528 (▲13) | 5-5, T-2nd West |
| 3 (▼1) | Saskatchewan | 1526 | 5-4, T-2nd West |
| 4 (▼1) | Toronto | 1517 | 6-3, 1st East |
| 5 | Hamilton | 1511 | 4-5, 3rd East |
| 6 | Montreal | 1508 (▲12) | 5-4, 2nd East |
| 7 | British Columbia | 1469 (▼13) | 4-5, 4th West |
| 8 | Edmonton | 1446 (▼9) | 2-7, 5th West |
| 9 | Ottawa | 1406 (▼11) | 2-8, 4th East |
Grey Cup Predictions
Winnipeg is just so much better than any other team in the league this year. Based on that, we’re now giving them a 40% chance of winning the Grey Cup. Toronto continues to be the top team in the East, but with only an 18% chance of winning. Edmonton and Ottawa now have less than a 1% chance of winning, but they’re not completely eliminated yet!
| Grey Cup Ranking | Team | Rating | Win Grey Cup |
| 1 | Winnipeg | 1613 | 40% (▲1) |
| 2 | Toronto | 1517 | 18% (▲1) |
| 3 (▲1) | Montreal | 1508 | 12% (▲2) |
| 4 (▼1) | Hamilton | 1511 | 12% |
| 5 | Saskatchewan | 1526 | 8% (▼1) |
| 6 | Calgary | 1528 | 8% (▲2) |
| 7 | British Columbia | 1469 | 2% (▼2) |
| 8 | Edmonton | 1446 | <1% (▼1) |
| 9 | Ottawa | 1406 | <1% |
Our Full Predictions
According to our calculations, Winnipeg is guaranteed at least 2nd place in the West, so they will definitely be hosting a playoff game. In fact, we’re giving them a greater than 99% chance of winning the Western Division! British Columbia, Edmonton, and Ottawa are unable to win their divisions, but they all still have a chance of making the playoffs, although we’re only giving Ottawa a 1% chance of that happening.
| Team | Rating | Make Playoffs | Host Playoff Game | Win Division | Make Division Final | Make Grey Cup | Win Grey Cup |
| Winnipeg 9-1, 1st in West |
1613 | ✔ | ✔ | >99% | >99% | 66% | 40% |
| Toronto 6-3, 1st in East |
1517 | 99% | 89% | 67% | 83% | 45% | 18% |
| Montreal 5-4, 2nd in East |
1508 | 95% | 63% | 21% | 58% | 28% | 12% |
| Hamilton 4-5 3rd in East |
1511 | 84% | 48% | 12% | 50% | 23% | 12% |
| Saskatchewan 5-4, T-2nd in West |
1526 | 89% | 47% | <1% | 46% | 16% | 8% |
| Calgary 5-5, T-2nd in West |
1528 | 82% | 45% | <1% | 43% | 15% | 8% |
| British Columbia 4-5, 4th in West |
1469 | 43% | 8% | — | 17% | 6% | 2% |
| Edmonton 2-7, 5th in West |
1446 | 7% | 1% | — | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Ottawa 2-8, 4th in East |
1406 | 1% | <1% | — | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Week 12 Game Predictions
Friday: Toronto (44%) at Montreal (55%)
Saturday: Ottawa (29%) at Hamilton (70%)
Saturday: British Columbia (25%) at Winnipeg (74%)
Saturday: Saskatchewan (43%) at Calgary (56%)