McDonald CFL Power Ratings – Week 2

CFL logoIn Week 2, defense seemed to be the key in the CFL.  Opening the week on Thursday Night Football, British Columbia defeated host Calgary 15-9.  BC picked off Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell four times for the first time in his career.

Friday night’s game featured Toronto visiting top-ranked Winnipeg.  Both Winnipeg’s offense and defense both looked strong, as they took an early lead and never looked back, winning 20-7.

In Saturday’s early game, Montreal travelled to Edmonton to open their season.  A strong performance by them, and a weak performance by Edmonton, resulted in a 30-13 win for Montreal.

Saturday’s late game involved 2nd-ranked Saskatchewan playing host to 3rd-ranked Hamilton.  Despite being penalized 20 times for 187 yards, and being held rougeless, the Roughriders dominated and won 30-8.

McDonald CFL Power Ratings

Winnipeg and Saskatchewan remain the top 2 teams this week, and despite being 0-2, Hamilton has retained 3rd place in the McDonald CFL Power Rankings.  British Columbia made a big move, jumping 3 spots after their win over Calgary.  Meanwhile, Edmonton dropped down to last place in the rankings after losing to Montreal.

Ranking Team Rating Record
1 Winnipeg 1554 (9) 2-0, T-1st West
2 Saskatchewan 1549 (10) 2-0, T-1st West
3 Hamilton 1511 (10) 0-2, 4th East
4 (1) Montreal 1507 (14) 1-0, T-1st East
5 (1) Calgary 1494 (16) 0-2, T-4th West
6 (3) British Columbia 1484 (16) 1-1, 3rd West
7 (1) Ottawa 1476 1-0, T-1st East
8 Toronto 1473 (8) 1-1, 3rd East
9 (3) Edmonton 1469 (14) 0-2, T-4th West

Grey Cup Predictions

Winnipeg, at 20%, and Saskatchewan, at 19%, are the most likely teams to win the Grey Cup.  The top Eastern team is Montreal with a 14% chance, followed closely by Hamilton at 13%.  We’re giving a 55% chance of a Western division team winning the league championship, versus a 45% chance of an Eastern team.

Grey Cup Ranking Team Rating Win Grey Cup
1 Winnipeg 1554 20% (2)
2 Saskatchewan 1539 19% (3)
3 (1) Montreal 1507 14% (3)
4 (1) Hamilton 1511 13% (3)
5 (1) Ottawa 1476 10%
6 (1) Toronto 1473 8% (2)
7 (2) British Columbia 1484 7% (2)
8 (1) Calgary 1494 5% (4)
9 (1) Edmonton 1469 4% (2)

Our Full Predictions

Team Rating Make Playoffs Host Playoff Game Win Division Make Division Final Make Grey Cup Win Grey Cup
Winnipeg

2-0
T-1st in West

1554 90% 69% 41% 68% 37% 20%
Saskatchewan

2-0
T-1st in West

1549 89% 68% 38% 65% 34% 19%
Montreal

1-0
T-1st in East

1507 79% 61% 36% 58% 31% 14%
Hamilton

0-2
4th in East

1511 64% 44% 19% 44% 23% 13%
Ottawa

1-0
T-1st in East

1476 72% 52% 27% 48% 23% 10%
Toronto

1-1
3rd in East

1473 64% 43% 18% 40% 19% 8%
British Columbia

1-1
3rd in West

1484 66% 33% 12% 35% 14% 7%
Calgary

0-2
T-4th in West

1494 41% 17% 6% 23% 10% 5%
Edmonton

0-2
T-4th in West

1469 34% 13% 4% 18% 7% 4%

Week 3 Game Predictions

Edmonton (41%) at British Columbia (58%)
Montreal (45%) at Calgary (54%)
Winnipeg (53%) at Toronto (46%)
Ottawa (33%) at Saskatchewan (66%)

 

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